Let’s Bet

Prof Bill Buchanan OBE FRSE
3 min readJan 27, 2024

So, let’s make a bet. There are 100 balls in a bin, and 70 of them are red and the rest are blue. You cannot see the balls in the bin, and you should not replace them once they are drawn. I want you to bet £1,000 on each draw. For this, you will draw 10 balls from the bin each time. If you draw exactly seven red balls, I will give you £4,000, but if you have any other number, I will take your money. Do you take the bet?

A good bet?

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Prof Bill Buchanan OBE FRSE

Professor of Cryptography. Serial innovator. Believer in fairness, justice & freedom. Based in Edinburgh. Old World Breaker. New World Creator. Building trust.