What’s causing obesity?

It’s corn syrup and fructose

Aleks Jakulin
3 min readJan 29, 2014

Consider this chart of what’s happening with obesity in the US. Clearly, something major happened between 1980 and 1995:

from http://qz.com/168714/americas-love-affair-with-cheese-is-made-of-cheddar-and-mozzarella/

Child obesity also exploded in that period:

http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/archive/downloads/sr282papers/sr282Brownson.pdf

The trends in physical fitness and transportation aren’t dramatic enough. TV watching as a proxy for physical inactivity didn’t really have a dramatic jump in that period either:

http://www.tvb.org/media/file/TV_Basics.pdf

Perhaps it’s diet that’s to blame. I’ve used ManyEyes to check what changes were there in that period:

Dramatic relative increase in high fructose corn syrup, reduction in sugar.

Indeed, a 3-fold increase in consumption of high-fructose corn syrup — on a huge calorie basis. All other changes just vanish compared to this transition.

Here’s another chart showing the rapid arrival of corn syrup on the market:

GA Bray, SJ Nielsen, and BM Popkin: Consumption of high-fructose corn syrup in beverages may play a role in the epidemic of obesity http://ajcn.nutrition.org/content/79/4/537.full

The corn syrup and fructose-based soft drinks are the primary sources of calorie intake increases from ‘70s to ‘90s:

SJ Nielsen, BM Popkin: Patterns and Trends in Food Portion Sizes, 1977-1998
http://www.cpc.unc.edu/projects/nutrans/publications/NielsenJAMAPatterns2003.pdf

It’s happening elsewhere too: after US, Hungary has the highest corn syrup consumption in the world [1], and they’re also struggling with one of the highest obesity rates [2].

Yes, this is just a long tweet, not even a blog post. Maybe someone can go and write a paper, examining the onset of obesity in other countries, examining the introduction of corn syrup as a sweetener. And mind the cacophony of diet fads, blaming obesity on fat, meat, or whatever. Of course, calorie intake needs to be offset by enough physical activity: but what else explains the rapid increase of obesity starting in 1980s, or the Hungary outlier? The corn syrup defense [3] provides no alternative explanations of the 1980 explosion. Yes, corn syrup is not the only source of fructose — but it’s the cheapest and largest one. Fructose in general seems to be an issue.

The one thing that stands out with US obesity spurt in 1980's are non-sugar sweeteners that went mainstream in the same period.

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