Georgia’s Competitive Districts: HD-102
As a reminder, this is a district breakdown in a series of posts on the competitiveness of Georgia legislative districts. For a review of the methodology and background information, please start here:
District Data
Demographics and Registration
Check out more details and great visualizations from Statistical Atlas:
Model Projections
Candidates
Buzz Brockway — Republican (Incumbent)
Website:
Fundraising:
As of October 25th filing:
Total raised — $69,844.01
Raised in this period — $4,100.00
Total spent — $46,960.27
Spent in this period — $18,825.41
Cash on hand — $22,883.74
Bio:
- First elected to HD-102 in 2010
- Former Chairman of the Gwinnett Republican Party
- Business owner
Karen Ridgeway — Democrat
Website:
https://www.facebook.com/drkridgeway/
Fundraising:
As of September 30th filing:
Total raised — $0.00
Raised in this period — $0.00
Total spent — $0.00
Spent in this period — $0.00
Cash on hand — $0.00
Latest two filings have $0.00 throughout, but the amended March 30 filling does include a $400.00 contribution total. Either way, the fundraising is not there for Dr. Ridgeway.
Analysis
This district looks to be in the bag for Rep. Brockway. Dr. Ridgeway doesn’t seem to have the organization base on fundraising. The numbers are against her, but this district could be competitive in another cycle if the demographics keeps moving the same direction. It’s been talked about a lot, but Gwinnett County looks to be turning blue sooner rather than later. That’s seen here in this district with the significant increase in minority registration and simultaneous decrease in white registration.
While Dr. Ridgeway will likely lose this cycle, the Democrats should focus on this district in 2018 and 2020. I believe that this could flip by 2020, but we need to keep up the pressure.
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