LETTER

An Investment Portfolio That Has Gained 24% in the Last 12 Months (and how you can copy it)

Dan Pedersen
May 8 · Unlisted

This is an updated version of a letter I sent in July 2017 when I reported a 28% gain, and October 2018 when I reported a 26% gain.

Several years ago I became interested in the stock market. Since then, I’ve been fortunate to learn a lot of valuable lessons about investing in stocks and I’ve managed to have some success.

For the first couple of years I played around with different ideas (and lost some money), until I eventually settled on an investment philosophy that lead to a 28% return in the first year and 19.5% per year over the past 3 years.

Below is a screenshot from my brokerage account. You can see how things improved after I changed strategies:

Here are the results between April 30, 2018 and April 30, 2019 (the yellow bar is a second account I opened in 2017):

To put the above numbers into perspective:

  • The average investor in stocks averages about a 4% return per year.
  • The S&P 500, which is the bench-mark index by which investors measure their performance, has averaged a return of approximately 10% per year.
  • The best investors in the world typically average 20% to 30% per year over a period of decades.

There’s no guarantee that my portfolio will continue to average the high returns that it has. But over the long-run, there’s an almost 100% correlation between the price of a stock and the performance of the underlying business. The companies I’m invested in have had an average growth rate of approximately 23% over the past 20 years, as a group (in terms of Earnings Per Share + dividends). And approximately 26% over the 10-year period prior to when I first began investing in them.

For further perspective:

  • $100,000 x 23% per year for 20 years = $6.2 million ($3.8 million adjusted for 3% annual inflation).

Past performance doesn’t guarantee equal success in the future. But if the companies I’m invested in do even half as well over the next 10 to 20 years as they did over the past 10 to 20 years, my portfolio will still out-perform the S&P 500 historical average. (As long as I don’t over-pay for future shares.)

I’ve adopted my investment philosophy primarily from Warren Buffett, who is widely recognized as the greatest stock market investor of all time. His business partner Charlie Munger, and investing legend Peter Lynch have also left a big impression on me. Sir John Templeton also deserves notable mention. I’ve studied them in earnest over the past several years and have taken their wisdom to heart.

The idea is to identify companies that will become more valuable over time. To borrow a term from Buffett, it’s about identifying companies that have a “durable competitive advantage”. In other words, it’s about investing in companies that have an advantage over their competitors, and that are able to sustain that advantage over a long period of time.

The idea is to buy such companies at a fair price (or at a bargain, if you can), and hang on to them for a long time. Ideally, until they lose their competitive advantage, or you find something better.

If you’d like to learn more about what I’m doing, you can. I’ve put together a report/checklist called Principles of Intelligent Stock Market Investing, which details the investment principles I follow. It contains specific details, including what numbers I look for when analyzing a company and some of the intangibles to consider. I also list the companies I’m currently invested in, and why.

I used to offer the document as part of an investment newsletter subscription, but I’m no longer taking new people for the newsletter. But the document is still available for $100. You’ll also get access to me via email if you have any questions.

Buy now

There are no refunds, as the document contains sensitive information ie; my entire investment portfolio and stocks I want to buy in the future.

P.S. You’ll receive the document within 24 hours, via the email address listed on your PayPal account.

Personal Growth

Sharing our ideas and experiences.

Unlisted

    Dan Pedersen

    Written by

    Writing mostly to myself. Sharing some of it with you. Hope it helps.

    Personal Growth

    Sharing our ideas and experiences.

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