Welcome to Planet Texas 2050

Planet Texas 2050
May 31, 2018 · 4 min read

By Katherine Lieberknecht, Ph.D.

Image for post
Image for post
Hurricane Harvey makes landfall over Texas, August 2017. Credit: NASA

are a group of faculty and researchers from The University of Texas at Austin working with communities across the state to ensure this is a healthy, secure, just, and ecologically and economically vibrant place to live in the year 2050. This is UT Austin’s first grand challenge — an enormous, interdisciplinary research project that’s trying to tackle some of our society’s most pressing environmental and humanitarian crises.

But why do we need to do this, you ask?

Because by the year 2050, Texas’ population could double, and most of that growth will be in urban areas like Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and El Paso. Think about that for a moment. What would it be like in your city if there were two or three times as many people as there are right now driving on roads or trying to buy homes?

Now consider this: Our weather is becoming more extreme. We know we’re going to see more floods, more wildfires, more droughts, more heat. So now imagine that double the number of people were all trying to run the AC during the summer or use water for lawns, washing machines, and bathing during another major drought. Or imagine Houston having double the residents it does now during the next Hurricane Harvey.

Meet some of the researchers working on UT Austin’s first grand challenge.

That’s why June 1st is an important day for Planet Texas 2050.

It’s the official start of the 2018 hurricane season. As we mark the new hurricane calendar year, residents in places such as Texas, Louisiana, Florida, and Puerto Rico continue to deal with the impacts of the 2017 season, the most expensive in U.S. history. For many people, work and school routines remain disrupted; economies continue to adjust to hundreds of billions of dollars in damages; and electricity remains missing for over 100,000 residents of Puerto Rico who lost power seven months ago. And more hurricanes are on the way.

Researchers from UT Austin and universities around the U.S. project that our region will see an increase in the frequency and intensity of these storms over the next several decades.

As a result, one of our hopes for our research program is that our data collection, model building, and strategy development will help communities and decision-makers better prepare for, recover from, and mitigate the impacts of natural disasters.

Back in August of 2017, Hurricane Harvey made landfall in Texas the week that our Planet Texas 2050 leadership team was finishing our first research program proposal. As we worked together to draft our plan to address the challenges created by the projected increase in extreme weather events and increasing population in Texas, we watched in disbelief as Houston and surrounding areas received more than 50 inches of rain over a few days. (For perspective, Portland, Oregon receives 44 inches of rain a year, on average.)

This animation of IMERG data shows rainfall amounts for Harvey from August 23 to 29, 2017, as it moved through the Gulf of Mexico and stalled over Texas. Credit: NASA JAXA, Hal Pierce

Even though Austin was physically removed from the trauma and damage occurring along the Gulf Coast, the connections were clear: nearly one-third of UT’s undergraduate students came from affected regions in Texas; everyone on campus knew someone dealing with Harvey in real-time. And within a few days, indirect ripple effects showed up even in Austin, when concerns about closed-down refineries along the Gulf resulted in a short-term gasoline shortage in Central Texas.

As we consider the beginning of this year’s hurricane season and hope for a less damaging 2018, the Planet Texas 2050 team is both anxiously watching weather radars and reports as new storms are named and celebrating June 1st, because it coincides with the launch of our first six research projects that aim to address our region’s imminent challenges.

Future posts will highlight these projects:

  • A study of past societies that have dealt with climate change and population growth;
  • An attempt to quantify all ground and surface water in Texas;
  • An analysis of an urbanized creek watershed in a rapidly growing Texas city;
  • The development of an integrated, interdisciplinary, accessible data platform for Texas metropolitan areas;
  • An inventory of the stories that Texans have told (and still tell) ourselves about our relationship to water;
  • And a study of the impact of transportation-related air pollutants on the health of Texans who live near freeways.

Our leadership team of eight UT Austin researchers and faculty members has spent the last six months developing plans and budgets, discussing governance policies, and negotiating the minutiae of different ways to present conceptual diagrams. We are thrilled to turn the calendar to June, put down the whiteboard markers, get out of the conference room, and get into the field to collect new data, gather and re-examine existing knowledge, and begin to develop tools and strategies to help ensure that Texas is a good home, for all, both now and in 2050. We’ll keep you posted about our progress.


Please join us on this journey.

Follow us on Twitter, visit our website, and come back to our blog for updates.

Katherine Lieberknecht, Ph.D., is an assistant professor in the School of Architecture at The University of Texas at Austin, and she is the faculty chair of the Planet Texas 2050 grand challenge research team. Her work focuses on urban water planning, metropolitan-scaled green infrastructure planning, and metropolitan food systems.

PlanetTexas2050

Texas' population could nearly double by the year 2050.

Planet Texas 2050

Written by

We're a group of researchers from across UT Austin. Making Texas resilient in the face of rapid population growth and climate extremes is our grand challenge.

PlanetTexas2050

Texas' population could nearly double by the year 2050. Extreme weather events will bring more floods, more droughts, and more heat. Our state's resources can't support those demands. Making Texas resilient is our grand challenge.

Planet Texas 2050

Written by

We're a group of researchers from across UT Austin. Making Texas resilient in the face of rapid population growth and climate extremes is our grand challenge.

PlanetTexas2050

Texas' population could nearly double by the year 2050. Extreme weather events will bring more floods, more droughts, and more heat. Our state's resources can't support those demands. Making Texas resilient is our grand challenge.

Welcome to a place where words matter. On Medium, smart voices and original ideas take center stage - with no ads in sight. Watch
Follow all the topics you care about, and we’ll deliver the best stories for you to your homepage and inbox. Explore
Get unlimited access to the best stories on Medium — and support writers while you’re at it. Just $5/month. Upgrade

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store