Who Watches the Watchers?
A (small) scorecard of predictions I made in 2022
Published in
3 min readDec 22, 2022
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Generally, the hard numbers people did pretty well.
NATO intelligence predicted the Russian invasion of Ukraine practically to the day and anticipated many of the Kremlin’s cyber and propaganda attacks, largely blunting them. Economic forecasters underestimated the effects of greed and malfeasance on inflation…