Autonocast — Walk all the Talk — Never aired my episode
I had high hopes for Autonocast. Kirsten Korosec, Ed Niedermeyer and Alex Roy. Each has had the courage to poke at the autonomous vehicle industry, the companies in it and some of their leaders. Unfortunately, they won’t go near the biggest dirty secret in the industry. Why?
While Autonocast seems to realize handover or L3 is unsafe they still do not get that public shadow driving can never get remotely close to creating a legitimate autonomous vehicle. And the deaths that have occurred and the many more that will come as the hype pushes these folks to run more complex and eventually accident scenarios, are completely needless. These folks say they don’t pull punches, ask the tough questions etc. But they won’t deal with this. In fact, they are recklessly promoting and enabling an untenable practices that has killed and will kill many more needlessly. Autonocast — do your homework. Then tell the truth even if you ruffle industry feathers. Or stop saying you search for the truth or don’t pull punches. Walk the talk.
They had me on their show months ago where I discussed all of this. They never aired it. Why?
Might they do that now? Or maybe augment or replace it after this article comes out and discuss my criticism of them if they wish?
From their latest show — Dec 27 Episode 122: Looking Back At 2016, Plus Hotz On Pronto
· They said the tech progress is impressive. Really? After eight years you were impressed by Waymo doing benign or only mildly challenging scenarios? Bad weather? Accident scenarios? Complex scenarios? They can’t handle most intersections or unprotected lefts.
· They said the industry is getting more realistic and hype has crashed. That is absolute nonsense. Yes, the hype bubble has been poked. But it is nowhere near broken. Saying that the process will now take years when it can never happen if you use public shadow driving to develop these systems is really not more realistic.
· They promote and laud Voyage for doing it right. Doing it right is making senior citizens Guinea pigs for no reason? Tell me how they train their AI in the accident scenarios that can happen even in that benign geofenced area?
· On George Hotz. Hotz like Musk convinces his customers and their families to put their lives at risk needlessly. All for a process that will never get close a legitimate driverless vehicle. How are his systems going to learn accident scenarios? Why didn’t you ask him about this?
You won’t air my episode but you air this?
It is not remotely possible, as in IMPOSSIBLE, to get anywhere near creating a legitimate autonomous vehicle using public shadow driving as your primary approach to training and testing AI. It is impossible to drive the one trillion miles or spend over $300B to stumble and restumble on all the scenarios necessary to complete the effort. Many of which are accident scenarios no one will want you to run once let alone thousands of times. You also cannot survive the thousands of needless casualties you will create trying. And finally, as the public, press and soon governments are figuring out, handover cannot be made safe for most complex scenarios, by any monitoring and notification system, because they cannot provide the time to regain proper situational awareness and do the right thing the right way.
There is a way to do this that will work and doesn’t kill people for no reason.
The Crash of the Autonomous Vehicle Industry
https://medium.com/predict/the-crash-of-the-autonomous-vehicle-industry-f71fd26c1ed0
