Predict

where the future is written

Starship — SpaceX

Member-only story

It’s Time To Admit It: Starship Is An Embarrassing Failure

It’s not just the failed test launches; Starship simply isn’t what was promised.

Will Lockett
Predict
Published in
7 min readJan 21, 2025

--

On January 16, the residents of Turks and Caicos were treated to a display of truly biblical-looking fireworks as a SpaceX Starship disintegrated above their heads during its seventh test launch. In the past, I and many others have stated that we shouldn’t be alarmed by failed rocket experiments, given that they are a standard and expected stage of rocket development. This is still somewhat true, but it is quite concerning that a launch that fails so spectacularly–to the extent of not even reaching orbit–occurs this late into the development process. At this point, SpaceX should be optimising Starship, not desperately trying to keep it alive. On top of all of that, there is growing evidence to suggest that Starship can’t come close to its proposed specifications. In fact, SpaceX’s competition is inches away from overtaking them, and Starship is actually worse than 60-year-old rocket technology. Don’t believe me? Well, let’s take a look.

Did you know that Starship has a serious engine problem?

Incredibly few people seem to know that Musk has publicly stated that, due to SpaceX’s current issues with its engines, Starship can only take “40–50 tons to orbit.” That…

--

--

Will Lockett
Will Lockett

Written by Will Lockett

Independent journalist covering global politics, climate change and technology. Get articles early at www.planetearthandbeyond.co

Responses (136)