The 4 Core Components of Technology Futures
I previously discussed how Technology Futures is an inferential process. I demonstrated how we can use the five steps in the process to reduce uncertainty about the future and reveal potential decision points. In other words, do Technology Futures. As a reminder, our steps are Observation, Analysis, Inference, Scenarios, and Reporting.
To that end, there are 4 core components of Technology Futures. These components drive decision-making and strategic foresight. Therefore, I want to baseline these components before moving into methodologies. This is worth our time because different futurists use slightly different terminologies or frameworks and we definitely need to use the same language once we get into Technology Futures methods. Check it out!
The core components of Technology Futures are our organizational tools. These 4 components allow us to categorize information and orient analyses. They also allow us to perform Technology Futures measurement too. Speaking of performing, let’s continue with the solar power technology example theme for our examples. With that in mind, the core components of an AI Futures decision are (in priority):
- Context Category: A context category is the broader area or system within which the future change resides. For example, in our solar power discussion, the context category could be…
