Analysis — Data Roundup — 2nd April, 2020
The global spread of the corona virus continues to showcase exponential tendencies rising to over 900k confirmed cases at the time of writing.
The US, Italy and now Spain have over 100k confirmed cases with the US rising past 200k+ cases
In terms of daily growth, overnight was the worst for Spain as it saw nearly a thousand in one day yesterday.
New worries around confirmed cases across Europe such as the 4.5k new confirmed cases in Georgia are something to see cause for concern too.
In terms of growth curves, the top 3 nations exhibit similar traits on a log scale basis.
If we add the other top countries to this chart we see they have similar angles
Adding South Korea to the mix shows it is still the leader in flattening the curve
Residing in Australia, it’s also interesting to see how we’ve been performing along and per the latest data we can see the Australian curve improving.
This is a great sign and shows that Australia’s lock-down actions are potentially working to flatten the curve, though I wouldn’t call anything as having fully worked just yet since we’re still in the middle of our fight against this pandemic.
The above charts come from the more recently created global cases app which is detailed in this article: LINK
You can also access the app directly here (it updates 8 times a day from 730am to 930pm AEST): LINK
I’ve also looked at more detailed data for NSW (as I live in Sydney) and we can see a general flattening of the curve for the state
Despite the downturn, South Eastern Sydney has the highest level of growth across the regions with Waverley and Woollahra having the most cases within that region
The next highest region is Northern Sydney and the Northern Beaches and Ryde have the highest case numbers but the trend for this areas is also downward sloping which is a good sign.
Most cases seem to be coming from overseas with 1,328 out of 2,122 confirmed cases coming via this route.
Finally, whilst the most infections are coming from those over 70 and over
The next highest group are a young generation (20–34).
I say again, we are still too early in the battle to say that we’ve won, but the signs are looking positive that what we are doing is working to help combat this spread.
To access the NSW data you can do so here: LINK.
If you would like to speak to myself or any of the other Prosperity Advisers team about this or our other services then please get in touch
Contact Details
Mark Monfort (Head of Data Analytics and Technology)
- Phone: 02 8262 8700
- Email: mmonfort@prosperity.com.au
