How To Perfectly Predict Improbable Events
Hint: Use Mathematics!
All you need to perfectly predict improbable events is the power of mathematics. If you find this hard to believe, it is probably because most of us find ourselves at the end of such events rather than at the source.
In this essay, I will be explaining this phenomenon using an illustrated example featuring two different observers’ points of view. Then, I will be generalizing the concept to everyday events and explaining how it is possible to perfectly predict any improbable event. Let us begin.
The Mysterious Email Newsletter — What You See is a Pixel
Imagine that you are into buying, holding, and selling cryptocurrencies to turn profits. One fine day, you receive a newsletter email from a self-proclaimed crypto-analytics agency. The newsletter says that a certain cryptocurrency will go up by at least a ‘so-and-so’ amount of value by the ‘so-and-so’ date in the very near future.
At this point, you have seen and heard of enough crypto-scams that you know that it is wise to be sceptical. However, you keep an eye on the particular cryptocurrency that the newsletter email spoke of. Lo and behold, on the said date, the price does indeed go up by the said value. This catches your attention. But hey…
