Prediction results for 2016

This was a great season for Fantasy Surfing Tips. We are proud of our results and will share with you

Chico Pimentel
Surf Metrics
2 min readDec 27, 2016

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We started the year with a clear objective in mind: build several calculation versions to predict the surfers performance prior to an event. The calculation would project a team to play on the WSL Fantasy Game.

In the beginning we were skeptical, because the first three versions didn't played well on the Australian leg. We kept on going, but the event at rio had several upsets, it was tough to predict. On J-Bay we launched our fifth version and everything changed. When we realized how well it could play based on prior results, we started to forecast some great numbers.

Our best calculation would have achieved the 6º place on the overall, while our worst calculation only 21,333º. We are really focused and eager to start the next season, as we will begin it with a steady model. The first version is ready and we will create a 2.0 version with a different logic on next season.

Will we achieve a great result on 2017? Next year we will answer this question. From now, you can check the position of all our calculations below.

Overall position on Fantasy

Our best version was the v1.7 and it could have achieved 6339.89 points

In the top 50th mark we have the v1.5 with 6205.64 points

Two versions got really close and achieved a top 100º mark, which we still believe is amazing. V1.8 with 6125.44 and v1.4 with 6125.32

Now we start to see the low rates. Two versions got on top 10,000º, at least they got above the 5kº mark. v1.3 with 5875.34 and v1.2 with 5871.01

And now we have our worst calculation version v1.2 made only 5058.84 points.

Heads up to the 2017 season!

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