Rough Terrains: Where Are The Strategic Opportunities?

Lars Nordenlund
Survival of The Strategic Fittest
7 min readDec 14, 2023
Illustration AI Generated with DALL-E

Chapter 5: Navigating the Terrain — Discovering Business Opportunities

In the ever-evolving landscape of business, the ability to identify and harness opportunities is a hallmark of strategic fitness and survival hinges on the strategic prowess of organizations to not only adapt to change but also to proactively seek and seize opportunities.

This chapter delves into the theoretical foundations and practical applications of Business Opportunity Discovery and Mapping, exploring the art and science of identifying and navigating potential avenues for growth and success, with a particular focus on the transformative role of Artificial Intelligence (AI).

As we navigate this chapter, it becomes evident that the strategic fittest are those who master the art of discovering and seizing opportunities, propelled by the transformative force of Artificial Intelligence.

Innovation Opportunities

Opportunities often manifest in the form of innovations. The theoretical underpinning of innovation theory guides us to view AI as a catalyst for groundbreaking ideas. As exemplified by companies like Google deploying AI for image recognition or Amazon utilizing AI for personalized recommendations, innovation through AI becomes a cornerstone in mapping opportunities.

The Innovators Dilemma by Clayton Christensen’s is such innovation theory suggesting that new technologies can emerge to disrupt existing markets — better meeting customer needs by providing simpler, more convenient, or more affordable solutions, initially targeting niche markets before eventually challenging established players.

Innovation theories, particularly concept of creative destruction and disruptive innovation theories, contribute to the theoretical framework. Businesses must not only identify incremental opportunities but also be attuned to disruptive changes in the market that can redefine industry landscapes.

One of the classic examples often cited is the disruption caused by streaming services to traditional cable television. The disruption occurred when Netflix, and now pretty much all other providers, introduced a new way of delivering entertainment content. Initially, Netflix started as a DVD rental-by-mail service, which was not seen as a significant threat to established cable TV providers. However, Netflix then transitioned to a streaming model, allowing users to access a vast library of content online, anytime, and on various devices. This shift in the delivery model, from traditional cable to online streaming, fundamentally changed the landscape of the entertainment industry. It provided consumers with greater flexibility and control over what, when, and how they consumed content. The convenience and affordability of streaming services posed a disruptive threat to cable TV, leading to changes in consumer behavior and challenging the existing business models of cable providers.

In the context of AI, we can observe disruptive innovations in various industries like Healthcare Diagnostics: AI-powered diagnostic tools, such as image recognition for medical imaging, have the potential to disrupt traditional diagnostic methods. Startups leveraging AI to analyze medical images or detect patterns in patient data can offer more efficient and cost-effective solutions.

Opportunity Recognition With Market Scanning and Trend Analysis

The theoretical underpinning of Business Opportunity Discovery starts with the concept of opportunity recognition. Researchers such as Sarasvathy (2001) argue that entrepreneurs don’t just discover opportunities; they actively create them through a process known as effectuation. This theory suggests that entrepreneurs and business leaders draw on their existing resources and networks to create new possibilities, emphasizing a proactive and strategic approach.

Utilize market scanning techniques to identify emerging trends and changes in consumer behavior. For instance, the rise of remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic presented opportunities for companies providing virtual collaboration tools and was a booster for Zoom and their growth path.

AI’s predictive analytics capabilities empower businesses to anticipate market trends and stay ahead of the competition. By analyzing historical data and external factors, AI becomes a strategic tool for businesses aiming to position themselves strategically in dynamic markets.

As an example a tech scale-up can be utilizing AI algorithms to analyze emerging technologies, predicts a surge in demand for decentralized finance solutions. This foresight prompts the development of a blockchain-based financial platform, establishing the company as a pioneer in a burgeoning market.

Establish a technology watch system to stay abreast of technological advancements. Collaborate with external partners through open innovation to access external knowledge and technologies. A classic example is Apple’s collaboration with third-party app developers through the App Store.

With the market data and competitive intelligence you can apply SWOT analysis to evaluate internal strengths and weaknesses alongside external opportunities and threats. Additionally, benchmark against competitors to identify gaps or areas where your organization can outperform.

Actively seek customer feedback and engage in co-creation initiatives. Platforms like IdeaScale and customer feedback surveys can unveil unmet needs and potential areas for improvement or innovation.

The Dynamic Capabilities Theory and Design Thinking

Dynamic capabilities theory accentuates an organization’s ability to adapt and innovate in response to a changing environment. Here, AI becomes a dynamic capability, facilitating real-time analysis of market trends, consumer behavior, and emerging patterns, offering a continuous stream of valuable insights for opportunity detection.

From a theoretical standpoint, the Resource-Based View (RBV) posits that a firm’s unique resources and capabilities are sources of competitive advantage. Applying this to opportunity discovery, businesses must strategically leverage their distinctive competencies to identify and exploit opportunities that align with their core strengths which posits that a firm’s resources and capabilities are central to its competitive advantage, the journey of opportunity discovery begins by assessing internal strengths and weaknesses.

This is to emphasize the importance of tangible and intangible resources in context of the company strategic position. AI, as a resource, empowers organizations with unparalleled analytical capabilities, enabling the identification of untapped potential within.

Think about it like a path to strategic expansion into related high valuable market segments along the same theories like Core Competency expansion. An example would be Tesla’s Transition to Energy Storage. Originally a luxury electric car manufacturer, Tesla recognized the growing demand for energy storage solutions. Leveraging their expertise in battery technology, Tesla ventured into the energy sector with products like the Powerwall, demonstrating strategic opportunity mapping beyond their initial market.

Amazon, primarily an e-commerce and distribution giant, identified an opportunity in cloud computing services. Through Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company ventured on the basis of their internet capabilities into providing infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS), catering to the growing demand for scalable and cost-effective cloud solutions.

Design thinking is a human-centered approach to problem-solving that has gained prominence in various industries, including business opportunity discovery. This methodology places a strong emphasis on empathy, collaboration, and iteration throughout the problem-solving process. When applied to business opportunity discovery, the design thinking approach involves:

  • Empathy: Understanding the needs, desires, and pain points of the target audience is a crucial first step. This involves putting oneself in the shoes of the end-users and gaining deep insights into their experiences.
  • Define: Clearly defining the problem or opportunity is essential. This step involves synthesizing the information gathered during the empathy phase to articulate the challenge in a way that guides the subsequent stages of the process.
  • Ideate: Encouraging a free flow of creative ideas is the ideation phase. Participants generate a wide range of potential solutions without judgment. This fosters a culture of innovation and allows for diverse perspectives to emerge.
  • Prototype: Rapidly creating tangible representations or prototypes of the proposed solutions allows for quick testing and iteration. This step helps to visualize ideas and gather feedback early in the process.
  • Test: Actively seeking feedback and testing the prototypes with the target audience is crucial. This iterative testing process refines and improves the solutions based on real-world insights.
  • Iterate: The design thinking process is iterative, allowing for continuous refinement. Based on feedback, teams go back to previous stages, make necessary adjustments, and retest until an optimal solution is achieved.

In the context of business opportunity discovery, design thinking encourages organizations to approach challenges with a fresh perspective, considering the end-users’ needs and experiences. It promotes a culture of innovation, adaptability, and customer-centricity, ultimately leading to the development of more meaningful and successful business opportunities.

Next is to take the discovery market insights, solution scope and design thinking into collaborative networks Strategic Alliances and Networking for verification and further ideation into actionable projects for execution.

Form strategic alliances and actively participate in industry networks. Networking provides valuable insights into market dynamics and may uncover collaborative opportunities. Consider the alliance between Starbucks and Spotify, enhancing the customer experience.

Conclusion

Business Opportunity Discovery and Mapping is not a passive endeavor but a proactive, strategic undertaking deeply rooted in theoretical frameworks and practical methodologies. By integrating theories of opportunity recognition, resource-based views, and innovation, organizations can navigate the intricate landscape of business, ensuring they not only survive but thrive amidst evolving challenges and opportunities.

In the realm of strategic fitness, the theoretical foundations of resource-based views, dynamic capabilities, and innovation theory converge with the practical deployment of AI in business opportunity discovery and mapping. The symbiotic relationship between theory and AI-driven practices ensures organizations not only survive but thrive in the dynamic landscape of business evolution.

In the upcoming chapters, we will delve into the tactical aspects of opportunity exploration, examining case studies and strategies employed by successful organizations in their quest for strategic fitness.

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Lars Nordenlund
Survival of The Strategic Fittest

Strategist, advisor, and entrepreneur with a global mindset. 20+ years of CxO experience building companies in Silicon Valley ventures and global enterprises.