The Startup
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The Startup

Don’t judge decisions by their outcomes

How hindsight biases our judgement

Steve Bartman is probably the most unlucky fan in baseball history. In 2003, while watching a game of the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in Chicago, he made a decision that resulted in millions of fans around the world hating and threatening him for years to come. What happened?

How we misjudge decisions of…

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