The Point of Precision

Anthony B. Masters
Oct 29, 2019 · 3 min read

In results from a hypothetical referendum question, it was claimed the option to leave the European Union with the Prime Minister’s deal had a 50.2% share against the option to remain in the EU.

This article examines the problems with presenting opinion poll results with that degree of precision.

“Along the lines”

Europe Elects, a polling account on Twitter, wrote:

UK, Opinium poll:
European Union Membership Referendum
Remain: 49.8%
Leave with Johnson Deal: 50.2%
Fieldwork: 15–17 October 2019
Sample…