This is Not the Pandemic Metric You Are Looking For.

Rhett Allain
May 12, 2020 · 4 min read

Let’s be clear, with COVD-19 it’s a global pandemic. One way to save lives is to just shut stuff down. When people stay home, they don’t really have a high chance of infecting other humans. But staying home means that the economy is on hold—and that’s generally a bad thing.

So, how do you know when people can go back to work? If you start too early, you will just get the same problem with more people getting sick. If you wait too long, then the economy continues to tank. What you need is some way to measure the level of infections. Don’t…