Epidemiology

Epidemic Modeling 101: Or why your CoVID19 exponential fits are wrong

Journalism and COVID

Advice from the experts: Talking with an epidemiologist and trenchant critic of coverage of the pandemic

Advice from the experts

What If It’s Too Late to Flatten the Curve? The Lessons of COVID-19 in the U.S.

COVID-19 has now killed more people than all 21st century worldwide epidemics (Swine Flu, MERS, Ebola, Zika, and Mumps) COMBINED. One of the reasons for the speed and potency of the virus’s…

Early Data Sharing Can Contain Pandemics: A Call For Collaboration

Why do these models use a fixed healthcare system capacity measure over time? As an economist, I would expect healthcare system capacity to increase on demand.

I fully realize our national policy hinders this effort, but clearly not to the point that scaling is completely removed over a 6–18+ month period.

Coronavirus: the key numbers we must find out

How many people got Covid-19? How many died? We just don’t know. And we’re not even trying. Let’s start fixing this.

Social Distancing to Slow the Coronavirus

Modeling the flattening of the COVID-19 peaks

Wanna live? Wear a mask. Wanna help? Wear a mask.

By Brad Hamilton

Some statistical terms from the pandemic

I’m a statistician. I used to work (for a decade) studying…

Modeling Exponential Growth

Predicting the Coronavirus spread using log transformations, Exponential…