Beating Hindsight: Forecasting for Humanitarian Planning and Preparedness

Why is the future important?

All human endeavours are based on forecasting, i.e. attempts to narrow down possible future outcomes to a manageable range. We…

Kickstarter, you may not be a store, but you are still a marketplace

And being a clearinghouse for “mostly-ready-to-ship” products isn’t necessarily a bad thing.

Struggling with forecasting ?

How are forecasts being used ?

As strange as it may seem, lots of companies mean different things when they talk about forecasting. Sometimes it means predicting. Sometimes it means committing to a number that the rep will bring…

Predicting the (religious) future

One part of my job is to attempt a forecast of the religious future in particular places and among particular peoples. As one might imagine, this is difficult.

As indicated by the word forecast, the type of prediction that I am laboring to…