A Future Supply Model for Bitcoin’s Market Cap

A Non-Divergent, Long-term, Residual Supply-driven Bitcoin Forecast

Stephen Perrenod
Jan 26, 2020 · 12 min read

Abstract

PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow model has a large following

Modeling scarcity with a convergent formula based on residual supply

Comparison of Future Supply and S2F models

Model limitations

Summary

Appendix: Quarterly Data

The Capital

A publishing platform for professionals now available on https://thecapital.io

Stephen Perrenod

Written by

supercomputing expert, astrophysicist, cryptocurrency analyst, orionx.net, author of DarkMatter, DarkEnergy, DarkGravity

The Capital

A publishing platform for professionals in business, finance, and tech

Stephen Perrenod

Written by

supercomputing expert, astrophysicist, cryptocurrency analyst, orionx.net, author of DarkMatter, DarkEnergy, DarkGravity

The Capital

A publishing platform for professionals in business, finance, and tech

Medium is an open platform where 170 million readers come to find insightful and dynamic thinking. Here, expert and undiscovered voices alike dive into the heart of any topic and bring new ideas to the surface. Learn more

Follow the writers, publications, and topics that matter to you, and you’ll see them on your homepage and in your inbox. Explore

If you have a story to tell, knowledge to share, or a perspective to offer — welcome home. It’s easy and free to post your thinking on any topic. Write on Medium

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store