How I Predicted Bitcoin’s Biggest Breakout in 2019

Eric Elliott
The Challenge
Published in
8 min readMay 14, 2019

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Image: Sunova Surfboards (CC BY NC ND 2.0)

On April 10, 2019 I wrote an article titled “Inside the Crypto Recovery” which laid out a theory of the November crash and predicted recovery of Bitcoin’s value from its 2018 low of about $3,200 up to $6,500. I laid out the case and the growing pattern among the alt coins, and then confidently predicted:

“With all this supporting data, I’m making a prediction: BTC to $6,500 USD soon.” — Published April 10, 2019.

The events described in it have since played out as predicted.

When I wrote it, the value of Bitcoin was struggling to overcome resistance at $5,300. 10 days later, it broke through resistance at $5,500. By early May it was fighting resistance at $6,000, and a few days ago, broke through $7,000. It’s currently pushing against $8k resistance.

To say that Bitcoin’s bulls are excited is an understatement.

People try to predict bullish breakouts using all kinds of forecasting methods, like moving averages, chart shapes…

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