When there aren’t users…

An empty park.
Photo by Hans Eiskonen on Unsplash

Predictive Evaluation aims to predict how users will experience different aspects of an interface based on principles and best practices derived from research in areas like Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) and Cognitive Science.

There are inherent risks to Predictive Evaluations because, as the name suggests, it’s a prediction. Meaning that, besides being riddled with biases, this type of evaluation doesn’t offer any empirical data.

1. HEURISTIC EVALUATION

Evaluating a checklist.
Photo by Glenn Carstens-Peters on Unsplash
  • Application: Early-stage to Post-launch
  • Goal: Perceived usability.
  • The Pros: Offers actionable insights.
  • The Cons: Focused on individual components and can’t evaluate tasks holistically.

2. COGNITIVE WALKTHROUGHS

Two people discussing the designs on a laptop.
Photo by John Schnobrich on Unsplash
  • Application: Early-stage to Post-launch
  • Goal: Optimizing the feedback cycles of a task.
  • The Pros: Offers a holistic perspective.
  • The Cons: Requires an outside perspective to prevent biases.

3. MODEL-BASED EVALUATION

A pilot’s cockpit.
Photo by Dan Lohmar on Unsplash
  • Application: Mid-stage to Post-launch
  • Goal: Efficiency of the user flow.
  • The Pros: Addresses the IA and ensures a more efficient interface.
  • The Cons: Very little emphasis on the contextual elements.

4. ERRORS AND REVIEWS

Instagram app-store reviews.
Photo by Obi Onyeador on Unsplash
  • Application: Post-launch
  • Goal: User pain points.
  • The Pros: Authentic user-generated data.
  • The Cons: Only available after the user has failed.

5. SIMULATION-BASED EVALUATION

A robot doing a task on a futaristic screen.
Photo by Eli Alvarez on Unsplash
  • Application: Mid-stage to Post-launch
  • Goal: Perceived usability.
  • The Pros: Reliable feedback on accessibility.
  • The Cons: Low-detail feedback.

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Karl Reitzig

I’m a South African UX designer sharing my thoughts on digital design and tech.