Member-only story
Is Your Industry Next for a Roll-Up? Here’s How to Tell — and What to Do
The garage door industry isn’t the most obvious place for a business empire. Yet in just a few years, Guild has emerged as a dominant force, consolidating a fragmented market into a scalable platform worth millions. If you’re a business owner in a fragmented industry, Guild’s story raises two pressing questions: Could my industry be next for a roll-up, and if it is, should I lead the charge or sell to someone else?
The roll-up model — acquiring and integrating small businesses in a fragmented market to create economies of scale — isn’t new, but its reach has expanded. From veterinary clinics to plumbing companies, private equity firms are creating billion-dollar platforms from businesses once considered too small to attract institutional capital.
Roll-ups are like waves. Catch one early, and you can ride it to a lucrative exit. Private equity firms often pay a premium to consolidate a market, and the scarcity of scaled businesses drives multiples higher. Wait too long, however, and the wave dissipates. You’re left competing with a PE-backed giant with better pricing, marketing budgets, and scale. Timing is everything.