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The Future is Electric

The Future is Electric is the house journal of TFIE Strategy Inc, a firm which assists global clients to future proof themselves in our rapidly changing world of business and technical innovation, and geopolitical and climate disruption.

ChatGPT generated landscape sleek cartoon of Consumer comparison image: a Chinese buyer walking confidently toward a sleek modern car labeled Chinese EV and away from a stodgy car labeled US ICE

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American Cars: Rejected by China

Inside the Political and Technological Collapse of a Once-Profitable Market

7 min readJun 20, 2025

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In the early 2010s, China was the promised land for American automakers. General Motors sold more vehicles there than in its home country. Buick, a brand fading into irrelevance in North America, was reborn as a prestige marque in Chinese cities. Ford had late but strong momentum, while Chrysler quietly moved metal through joint ventures. For a while, it looked like Detroit’s future was tethered to China’s rising middle class, and that America’s combustion engine muscle would fuel another golden age, just on different soil. That future didn’t materialize, but Trump 2.0’s trade war and Chinese nationalist pride did.

Chart of Q1 Chinese vehicles sales 2010 to 2025 by author
Chart of Q1 Chinese vehicles sales 2010 to 2025 by author

The numbers speak with a clarity few corporate strategy memos ever achieve. In Q1 2014, American-branded internal combustion vehicles sold in China in volumes approaching 1.2 million. By Q1 2025, that number had collapsed to around 250,000. This wasn’t a momentary blip or a COVID hangover. It was a structural collapse. While the total Q1 auto market in China hit new highs — over 7.4 million vehicles in early 2025 — American ICE brands lost four out of every…

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The Future is Electric
The Future is Electric

Published in The Future is Electric

The Future is Electric is the house journal of TFIE Strategy Inc, a firm which assists global clients to future proof themselves in our rapidly changing world of business and technical innovation, and geopolitical and climate disruption.

Michael Barnard
Michael Barnard

Written by Michael Barnard

Climate futurist and advisor. Founder TFIE. Advisor FLIMAX. Podcast Redefining Energy - Tech.

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