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The Futureplex

Research and essays on pluriversal futures design.

A New Scale for Civilizational Progress: From Extraction to Balance

7 min readMay 18, 2025

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By Julian Scaff

A circular, rotating space station with artificial gravity in orbit above the Earth at night. Aurora are visible in the distance.
This essay critiques the Kardashev Scale as an ecologically and ethically flawed model rooted in colonialist thinking, and proposes a new, pluralistic framework for measuring civilizational maturity based on ecological harmony, social justice, intellectual wisdom, and responsible interplanetary expansion. (Photocollage by Julian Scaff using images by NASA)

Since the mid-20th century, the Kardashev Scale has served as a popular framework for imagining the future of intelligent life. Introduced in 1964 by Soviet astrophysicist Nikolai Kardashev, the scale ranks civilizations by the amount of energy they are able to harness — from planetary (Type I) to stellar (Type II) to galactic (Type III) levels. This idea has been embraced by scientists, science fiction writers, and futurists alike as a benchmark for technological advancement. Yet beneath its veneer of scientific neutrality lies a deeply flawed and culturally narrow worldview. Far from being a universal measure of progress, the Kardashev Scale reflects a colonial logic of expansion, control, and extraction — one that, if followed, would lead not to transcendence, but to self-destruction.

The fundamental problem with the Kardashev Scale is that it equates advancement with the accumulation and consumption of energy at increasingly massive scales. It imagines the most advanced civilizations as ones that subjugate nature, first of an entire planet, then a solar system, and finally a galaxy. This logic is not value-neutral; it mirrors the history of industrial capitalism and colonial conquest. Just as empires once sought to control territory and labor, the Kardashev model imagines civilizations conquering energy itself, extracting power from every corner of the cosmos, regardless of consequence.

An illustration of the Kardashev Scale of advanced civilizations showing a planet (Type I), a solar system (Type II), and a galazy (Type III).
The Kardashev Scale is a framework that ranks civilizations based on their energy consumption — from harnessing planetary energy (Type I) to stellar (Type II) and galactic (Type III) levels — reflecting a linear, power-centric view of technological advancement. (Illustration by Julian Scaff using images from NASA.)

But such a path is not only ethically dubious; it is physically and ecologically impossible. Harnessing all the energy available on a planet, as with a Type I civilization, would destabilize climate systems, collapse ecosystems, and generate waste heat at levels that would render the biosphere uninhabitable. The scale assumes that more power is always better, ignoring thermodynamic limits and the fragility of planetary systems. It is, at its core, a fantasy of limitless growth — an extension of the same worldview that has brought Earth to the brink of ecological collapse today.

Moreover, the Kardashev framework erases the diversity of cultural values and civilizational goals found across the globe. Not all societies measure progress in terms of material power or technological scale. Many Indigenous traditions emphasize reciprocity with the Earth, rather than domination. Philosophical traditions from Asia, Africa, and Latin America have long centered balance, harmony, and relational ethics over extractive control. By contrast, the Kardashev Scale presents a one-size-fits-all vision of advancement, rooted in a narrow, Western industrial paradigm.

The limitations of the Kardashev Scale not only misguide our vision of progress, they may also blind us to the very civilizations we seek in the cosmos, as revealed by the enduring mystery of the Fermi Paradox.

The Fermi Paradox is the contradiction between the high probability of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe and the lack of observable evidence for it. Given the vast number of Earth-like planets in our galaxy alone, many scientists have long assumed that technologically advanced civilizations should be common — and yet, we see no signs of them. One possible explanation is that we’ve been searching for the wrong things. Our telescopes and radio arrays are tuned to detect techno-signatures that reflect our own industrial and energy-intensive trajectory — massive power outputs, radio signals, or megastructures like Dyson Spheres.

But what if advanced civilizations don’t leave such footprints because they’ve outgrown the need for extractive technologies? It’s possible that the most enduring and intelligent lifeforms in the cosmos are those that have achieved ecological equilibrium, operating in harmony with their environments and leaving no detectable trace from afar — not because they are primitive, but because they are wise.

A Dyson Sphere — a hypothetical megastructure that surrounds a star to capture all of its energy — has long been imagined as the hallmark of a super-advanced civilization. But in reality, such a construct would be both impossible and profoundly undesirable. The engineering challenges alone are insurmountable: the materials required exceed what exists in an entire solar system, and the structure would be gravitationally unstable, vulnerable to catastrophic collapse.

More importantly, the underlying logic of a Dyson Sphere, total energy capture and control, reflects a dangerously extractive mindset. A civilization attempting such a feat would need to dismantle entire planets, destroy celestial ecosystems, and emit colossal amounts of waste heat, ultimately destabilizing its own star system. Rather than advancing, it would enter a death spiral of overreach, ecological collapse, and eventual extinction. A truly mature civilization would realize that survival lies not in domination of the cosmos, but in harmonizing with it — in choosing balance over excess, and humility over hubris.

We need a new model, one that reflects the plurality of human and potentially non-human civilizations, and adheres to the fundamental laws of physics. This alternative framework should not be based on how much energy a society consumes, but on how wisely, justly, and harmoniously it lives. It must measure not the ability to dominate worlds, but the capacity to care for them, understand them, and live within their limits.

The Equilibrium Scale

The new model I propose that I call the Equilibrium Scale evaluates civilizations along four interconnected axes:

The “Equilibrium Scale” displays four axes representing a civilization’s development: Ecological Harmony, Social & Moral Development, Intellectual & Consciousness Maturity, and Responsible Expansion.
The Equilibrium Scale is a four-axis model for civilizational maturity, measuring progress through ecological balance, social justice, intellectual depth, and responsible expansion, offering a holistic alternative to the energy-centric Kardashev Scale.

1. Ecological Harmony (E-Level)

This axis measures the degree to which a civilization lives in balance with its planetary environment. At the lowest levels, civilizations exploit ecosystems unsustainably, destabilizing their own life-support systems. At the highest levels, civilizations act as stewards and regenerators, not just preserving ecosystems but actively enriching them. In some cultural worldviews, this is not technological advancement but moral responsibility — an ethic of kinship with all life.

2. Social and Moral Development (S-Level)

True maturity requires the elimination of systemic violence, including poverty, exploitation, and war. This axis measures a society’s ability to cultivate justice, equity, and peace across differences. It recognizes that well-being is not individual but collective, and that no civilization can be called advanced if it tolerates avoidable suffering. Many traditions around the world, from Ubuntu in Africa to Buen Vivir in Latin America, affirm that to thrive is to live well with others, not merely above them.

3. Intellectual and Consciousness Maturity (C-Level)

Beyond material survival, civilizations seek meaning. This axis measures the development of knowledge, self-awareness, cultural depth, and spiritual insight. A mature civilization cultivates wisdom, questioning its own assumptions, embracing complexity, and seeking harmony between inner and outer worlds. Enlightenment is not reduced to science or religion but is understood as a plural, evolving process of collective understanding.

4. Responsible Expansion (X-Level)

This axis reflects a civilization’s ability to extend its presence beyond its home world without causing harm. Expansion is not rejected, but it is decoupled from domination and excess. A civilization might reach nearby planets, asteroids, or even stars, but it does so through minimalist, ethical, and ecologically-aware methods. Technologies are chosen not for their grandeur, but for their elegance and sustainability. Space is not a frontier to conquer, but a realm to relate to with care.

A visual chart depicting how the four dimensions of the Equilibrium Scale are scored from zero to three.
The Equilibrium Scale scores each of its four dimensions — Ecological Harmony, Social and Moral Development, Intellectual and Consciousness Maturity, and Responsible Expansion — on a scale from 0 to 3. Ecological Harmony reflects how well a civilization lives within or regenerates its planetary systems; Social and Moral Development assesses equity, justice, and the absence of systemic violence; Intellectual and Consciousness Maturity measures collective wisdom, cultural depth, and self-awareness; and Responsible Expansion evaluates a civilization’s ability to explore beyond its home planet in sustainable and ethical ways.

Rather than rank civilizations on a single ladder, this framework generates a multi-dimensional profile, such as E0-S1-C1-X0 (this is how I score human civilization on Earth today). Currently, we are depleting Earth’s resources faster than they can be regenerated, and we are in the midst of ecological collapse. Some nations have alleviated poverty and injustice, but these problems persist in much of the world. Scientific and spiritual development coexist and compete with superstition, disinformation, and materialism. While we have sent humans as far as the Moon, and robotic spacecraft have only recently left the solar system (Voyagers I and II), we are mostly Earth-bound, and our space activities are still rudimentary and polluting.

This offers a more nuanced and culturally respectful picture of development. It allows for diverse pathways, where a civilization may excel in ecological harmony but remain nascent in space travel, or vice versa. Crucially, it recognizes that there is no universal endpoint, no final stage of “perfection” but rather an ongoing journey of co-evolution, adaptation, and learning.

In moving beyond the Kardashev Scale, we move beyond the myths of infinite growth, control, and supremacy. We begin to ask deeper questions: not how powerful we can become, but how well we can live. Not how far we can go, but how deeply we can understand. Civilization is not defined by its ability to light up the sky, but by its capacity to illuminate the soul, and to do so without burning the world around it.

A future worth striving for is not one in which we become gods of energy, but one in which we become guardians of life on this world, and perhaps, someday, on others.

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The Futureplex
The Futureplex

Published in The Futureplex

Research and essays on pluriversal futures design.

Julian Scaff
Julian Scaff

Written by Julian Scaff

Design Leader and Futurist. Associate Chair of the Graduate Interaction Design program at ArtCenter College of Design.

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