Iranian Political Economic News
How Khamenei Will Choose Iran’s Next President
The Iranian presidential election will take place this Friday, June 28, but the winner will be decided by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei
The outcome of the Iranian presidential election will be decided by Khamenei and his cohort, not at the ballot box. They will decide based on how they believe it will affect their ability to enact their agenda. Understanding whom they will choose, therefore requires understanding their interests. This article will present a basic analysis of Khamenei’s decision making calculus as to whom to “elect” as president.
Interests
Political interests, in their most basic sense, are divided into goals and fears. The rationale behind these goals and fears helps determine the length at which a group or individual will go to protect its interests.
Fears
The Islamic Republican regime acts primarily out of fear as it has many enemies.
Interestingly, the greatest threat to its existence, and its most formidable enemy, is the Iranian public. Iranian citizens resent the limitation of their civil liberties, their deteriorating economic…
