Week 6 fantasy football buy or sell
32 seconds for 32 teams — time to make some bye week trades and prep for that Hunter Henry breakout
Already a third of the way through the fantasy season, it’s time to make a big move to save your team or propel it to a title run. This is the time of year when owners start to get antsy and bad weeks begin to feel like patterns, and the trade waters are warm and inviting. Now is the time to strike.
You’ve had huge success if you followed advice to get rookies Leonard Fournette and Deshaun Watson two weeks ago. Last week’s top buy Doug Martin looked good in his return, and he and Andrew Luck remain strong target options as they return to full speed soon.
But the real area to strike right now is bye weeks. Fantasy owners notoriously sell too low when their star is out on bye or on players that had an early bye and have a lower fantasy ranking because they’ve played fewer games. That presents a tremendous opportunity to go get Julio Jones and Matt Ryan or a litany of Denver or Washington players coming off their bye, and it’s a great chance to snag Ezekiel Elliott or LeSean McCoy on their off week.
The injuries continue to pile up, and the bye weeks are hitting hard. If you have depth, use that depth in a 2- or 3-for-1 trade and get that star. Let’s take a look around the league to see which players you should target…
It’s a second straight week with nine receptions for Andre Ellington, who may be a better version of James White in PPR leagues. Arizona traded for Adrian Peterson Tuesday. He’s worth a speculative add and should get the Chris Johnson work (Johnson was released) but don’t get too excited. It’s tough to separate the Browns but it looks like Jaron is option 2a at WR over John at 2b, with both of them being playable flex options in a pass-heavy attack. J.J. Nelson is the big play threat but the four receiver here.
The Falcons are coming off a bye and have had a very difficult start, with their past three games against top five pass defenses. Now that Julio Jones and Mohamad Sanu had a chance to get healthy, they and Matt Ryan look like terrific buy lows with a trip through the AFC East on tap the next three weeks.
Javorius Allen absorbed the extra snaps once Terrance West went out injured and had an impressive game. He finished with 21/73 on the ground and an encouraging short yardage TD and added four receptions. He’s a playable RB2 and a lone bright spot in a bad offense. Ben Watson was invisible but played a season high snap percentage and still looks like an option at tight end.
The Bills badly need this bye week with virtually no healthy receivers left to throw to, and LeSean McCoy is the only Bill you need to hang onto during the bye week. McCoy leads the team in targets and rushes and is getting 23 touches a game. He hasn’t scored a TD yet and his value should only go up so he makes a tremendous buy low option through the bye week.
What kneeling means, and why sometimes we kneel because we have to extranewsfeed.com
A second straight 300-yard 3-TD game for Cam Newton, but this Carolina offense still doesn’t look quite right. Newton isn’t running the ball much and his passing has never been consistent. This looks like the perfect sell high opportunity. Ed Dickson had more yards this week (175) than any of his last three seasons as a Panther. Devin Funchess has led Carolina in targets three straight weeks, and he and Christian McCaffrey continue to look like the most explosive Panthers and the guys to buy low on. McCaffrey only had nine touches this week and was out-snapped by Jonathan Stewart for the first time, but Stewart just isn’t doing much with his touches.
Mitchell Trubisky had moments in his first start but is nowhere near fantasy relevant. Five of his first opponents will be top ten pass defenses. Jordan Howard looked really good again with 19/76 rushing, not including a 42-yard TD that was called back, against one of the league’s best run defenses. He looks like a good bet to finish among the top ten RBs.
Bill Lazor seems to have really sparked this offense in three games as coordinator. AJ Green has been a monster with at least 120 yards and a TD every game, and Andy Dalton has averaged 275 yards with seven TDs in those three games with a 7.9 YPA. Don’t sleep on the Bengals as a possible AFC North winner. Joe Mixon finally got into the endzone and continued to see a lot of snaps and touches, but his 2.8 YPC is getting concerning.
The Browns made a concerted effort to get Isaiah Crowell the ball and he still didn’t do much, while Duke Johnson again looked great with 83 yards on nine touches and another TD. Keep an eye on Ricardo Louis, who saw eight targets a second straight game and looks like the go-to receiver, and on rookie tight end David Njoku who had a big second half with Hogan at QB.
Could the Colts or Browns shock everyone and make a playoff run?unprofession.com
Dak Prescott has emerged as a weekly start at QB. He’s scored 13 TDs already and is adding 5ppg on the ground. He won’t keep that 42-TD pace up so feel free to sell high if he’s a backup you stashed, or sell your high pick QB and use Dak going forward. He and Ezekiel Elliott are rolling and will be missed during Dallas’s bye. Keep an eye on Brice Butler after the bye. He’s looked good in limited time and could get a shot at replacing Terrance Williams, who has made a litany of mistakes. Dallas has plenty of weak defenses left on its schedule. This could be your last chance to trade for Dak and Zeke.
Denver is coming off a bye week and faces four soft defenses in its next five weeks. A lot of owners undervalue guys early in the season whose fantasy rank is superficially low because of an early bye. C.J. Anderson, Demaryius Thomas, and Emmanuel Sanders have all looked like safe weekly options and all make great trade targets if you need a steady producer.
This was a disappointing week for Ameer Abdullah. His numbers weren’t bad but he saw only 22 snaps with the Lions playing from behind all game. That could be a problem in games the Lions trail and Abdullah could be a sneaky sell high if you find a taker. Eric Ebron continues to pile up the drops and is only playing half the Detroit snaps now, so drop him if you haven’t.
The Packers may have found something in rookie Aaron Jones, who played all but two snaps and put up 134 yards and a TD. More highly regarded Jamaal Williams only played two snaps and may not be healthy. Jones looks like at least a great handcuff to Ty Montgomery. Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams have 10 TDs between them, and they’ve done it against pretty good defenses. Turns out Aaron Rodgers is pretty good.
A bunch of terrible games plus Packers-Cowboys and Chiefs-Texansmedium.com
Remember a couple weeks ago when we told you to go get Deshaun Watson? The rookie put up five TDs twice in a row and continues to put up huge numbers, much of them to DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins is second in the league in receptions and TDs and first in targets. You should probably consider selling high on both but might just want to ride the wave, especially with Cleveland on deck. Will Fuller certainly looks like a sell high. He’s scored four TDs in six receptions and can’t keep that up.
You might consider stashing rookie RB Marlon Mack if you can afford to wait. He had 91 yards on only nine carries and scored one TD and nearly a second. He only played 17 snaps but looked dynamic and far more explosive than Gore, and he’s sure to get more touches as the year progresses. Remember to check if Andrew Luck is available and pick him up if so.
Leonard Fournette is on fire with 329 yards and three TDs the last two weeks, and he’s scored a TD every game. Two weeks ago he was a buy low before all this. Now he’s a sell high. He can’t keep up this TD pace and we’ve already seen him struggle when Jacksonville does, and they sure will with an awful Blake Bortles averaging 165 yards a game.
Alex Smith is starting to get some MVP buzz, and he’s a worth fantasy start for most teams until this Chiefs team slows down. They’ll miss Chris Conley, headed to the IR with an Achilles injury. Albert Wilson could be a decent pickup in his stead. He’s barely played half the snaps but is already third on the Chiefs in targets.
After a wild offseason and new superstars in new places, which teams should you be most excited to watch in 2017?grandstandcentral.com
Los Angeles Chargers
Hey look at that, a huge Melvin Gordon game with 163 yards and two TDs! Frequent readers should know by now that Gordon’s production is hit or miss, so this is a good sell high moment. The big news is that Hunter Henry may have finally stepped forward. He only caught three balls but saw eight targets and played a season-high 78 snaps, and the Chargers’ next four opponents are all bottom ten against tight ends. Go get him. The breakout is coming.
Los Angeles Rams
Todd Gurley finally had the quiet game that was coming but still saw good volume, which is a lot more than we can say for Sammy Watkins who went catchless again. Keep an eye on Tyler Higbee. He was my favorite longshot tight end in the preseason and has put up 145 yards the last two weeks in what’s shaping up to be a Jordan Reed type role for Sean McVay.
The Dolphins offense has looked bleak, but Jay Ajayi is still a name you should go get. He saw high volume again with 27 touches and played 78% of the snaps. Ajayi plays the Falcons, Jets, and Ravens next, all bottom ten against RBs. He should still produce, and maybe Matt Moore will get a shot to ignite the offense soon.
Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen are regressing as expected, but Minnesota may have seen a new star born under the Monday night lights in Jerick McKinnon. McKinnon was a heavy snap leader and piled up 146 yards on 22 touches, including a long TD run. He looked explosive out of the backfield and is the more analogous back to Cook, so he’s definitely worth a pickup.
32 seconds for 32 teams — why it’s time to buy Dolphins and Jaguars but sell Saints and Lions medium.com
The Patriots defense is pretty unpredictable, but the offense is starting to fall into some weekly patterns. Mike Gillislee saw his third straight week with 12 carries and no TDs. He’s yet to record a reception and is entirely TD dependent. He and James White are each putting up around 45–60 yards a game, so Gillislee is the better back in standard leagues while White remains playable in PPR. So does Danny Amendola after another solid 8/77 week.
It’s tough sledding ahead for the Saints, who will face only one easy pass defense the rest of the season with all but two opponents in the top half of the league against QBs. That’s bad news for Drew Brees and Michael Thomas and makes them possible sell high options. The RBs haven’t been worth much and the Peterson trade doesn’t change that since he wasn’t involved anyway. This should mean a steadily increasing role for Alvin Kamara.
New York Giants
Well, here we are. The Giants are 0–5, they have no healthy receivers, and there’s no run game to be found. And oh yeah, they have Denver and Seattle on tap before a bye week. Keep Evan Engram but drop everyone else and don’t look back.
New York Jets
Who could’ve guessed the Jets would be the better New York team, let alone leading the division after five weeks? Recommended tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins saw eight targets and scored a TD. He remains a possible starter. Bilal Powell was an injury disappointment, but Elijah McGuire didn’t do much in his stead. Powell should be a great play against New England’s league-worst run defense next week.
Who should you target in the late rounds of your draft?unprofession.com
The Raiders could be on the verge of a lost season at 2–3 with Carr out and the Chargers, Chiefs, and Bills on tap. E.J. Manuel barely cleared a hundred yards passing outside of a bomb to Michael Crabtree, who looks steady with six catches and 80 yards in three of his four games with four TDs but is probably a sell high on this offense. Marshawn Lynch played only two more snaps than Jalen Richard with the Raiders behind all game. He’s seeing only 42% of Oakland’s snaps and barely looks playable. And Amari Cooper somehow posted a third straight week with single digit yards. He’s a train wreck right now but the ultimate buy low in dynasty leagues.
LeGarrette Blount looks decent with 74 yards, but half of those came on one scamper and he played only 26 snaps despite the Eagles holding a big lead all game. That’s not a good sign for his value going forward. Nelson Agholor and Torrey Smith each scored a TD but are fighting for fourth position in the Eagles passing game behind Ertz, Jeffrey, and the passing RB. Neither is really more than a dart throw.
Somehow the Steelers still lead the division but Ben Roethlisberger looks awful. He’s thrown just two TDs in three weeks and his 6.5 YPA is a career low. Three top ten pass defenses are next, and Big Ben’s so bad you can consider cutting him but there are probably too many weapons. LeVeon Bell has really only had one game worthy of his lofty pick status but he’s seeing all the usual volume and the production will come. He’s worth a big offer if you can afford a superstar buy low.
This was a troubling week for Carlos Hyde, who was out-snapped by rookie Matt Breida in a move that was supposedly Shanahan playing the hot hand. Pierre Garcon continues to see a huge target load. He hasn’t scored a TD yet and is off the radar but looks like a steady weekly WR start if you just need a lineup filler, someone that can be had on the cheap.
A snarky preview of 20 new TV shows, and which ones you should watch (the reboots) and skip (most of the rest)movietime.guru
If you’re still monitoring Seahawks running backs, God bless you. Thomas Rawls led the RBs with 32 snaps, J.D. McKissic led them in yards without cracking 40, and Eddie Lacy was disappointing yet again. Please, please drop them all during Seattle’s bye week and move on with your life. Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin look like decent buy low options into the bye.
Jameis Winston has three straight 300-yard games and is being listed among the top fantasy QBs, but he may be a sell high. Winston has seven games remaining against top ten pass defenses and none against the bottom ten. Sell on both him and Christian Brate. But do go get Doug Martin. He was last week’s top target and looked great in the first half against New England before the Bucs fell behind and used other backs. He finished with 74 yards and a TD on 13 carries. He has a tough schedule the next few weeks that may keep the trade window open, but he could be a top ten second half option.
The Titans haven’t gotten anything going and badly need Marcus Mariota back. DeMarco Murray may be worth a shot on the buy low. He’s got Indy and Cleveland next and plenty of juicy matchups ahead if someone’s given up on him. The volume is there, even though the stats have been so bad. He’s well ahead of Derrick Henry, who’s seen just ten carries in two weeks and one catch all year. Henry can be cut in redrafts if needed.
Just about every Washington player looks like a buy low target coming off the bye week with the 49ers, Eagles, and Cowboys up next. That’s three bottom ten pass defenses for Kirk Cousins, and Jordan Reed could finally be healthy with an extra week to rest those ribs. Robb Kelley is another option that may be healthy now, and Terrelle Pryor remains a bounce-back candidate.
If you enjoyed this piece, give it a few claps 👏 👏 so others will see it too! Follow Brandon on Medium or @wheatonbrando for more sports, humor, pop culture, and life musings. Visit the rest of Brandon’s writing archives here.