Brazil Will be the Next Outbreak Region for Pandemic

Alonso Chang
The Last Futurist
Published in
2 min readFeb 26, 2020

As of February 25th, 2020, cases are growing faster globally than in China, or Hubei Province, according at least to the WHO and China’s own highly sketchy figures.

However how likely is a San Paulo hospital able to handle a pandemic type coronavirus?

Outside of China, there are now 2,790 cases of the coronavirus across 37 countries, including 44 deaths as of Wednesday morning, according to a transcript of remarks from Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of WHO.

Why is Brazil a Threat?

Brazil is about to enter party mode. Good luck doing social distancing in this happy-go-lucky culture. What am I talking about?

Street festival season. Brazil’s carnival holiday, a peak time for domestic travel when millions of revelers throng to major cities for raucous street celebrations. Sounds like a good climate for coronavirus spread. Via Brazil it’s likely to reach South American countries already who are economically vulnerable like Venezuela and Mexico.

Since this coronavirus has spread with family clusters, South America’s close knit families are very vulnerable, where testing is believed to be below global averages in capabilities. Before things warm up in April, the virus has time to further spread around world with infections in the Middle East likely 1.5 weeks ahead of Europe which are 1.5 weeks ahead of North America.

South America is likely to be a little bit ahead of North America given how easily the virus will spread there due to the above mentioned reasons. So watch Brazil for further outbreak news.

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Alonso Chang
The Last Futurist

Freelance coder and AI enthusiast. Curious about all things Tech, China and global economics. Social media avoidant. Debt ridden Millennial.