Coronavirus Outbreak Just Beginning Outside of China

An electron microscope image made available by the U.S. National Institutes of Health shows the Novel Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, orange, that causes COVID-19.

While China claims its gotten Covid-19 under control with less cases reported on a day to day basis as of mid February, 2020, outbreaks in the rest of the world keep doubling about every five days.

What does that look like? It means the Princess Diamond and a new outbreak in Iran, with the first 2 cases reported already being dead, points to this thing not being over.

Earlier in February, Prof Gabriel Leung, the chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University, said the overriding question was to figure out the size and shape of the iceberg, those cases below the surface. Most experts thought that each person infected would go on to transmit the virus to about 2.5 other people. That gave an “attack rate” of 60–80%. That means 60% of the planet could get the flu like novel coronavirus.

What does that look like? The research from the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention is based on more than 72,000 patient records of COVID-19 reported nationwide through Feb. 11.

• Only another 14 per cent were classified as severe, causing symptoms such as pneumonia and shortness of breath.
• Total case fatality rate was 2.3 per cent.
• Among the 1,023 deaths, most were among those aged 60 and older, and many had other medical…