Why Trump Won’t Do Jail Time

Analyzing the political reality

John Polonis
PolisPandit
Published in
6 min readAug 3, 2023

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Lexica.art: Source

It’s challenging to keep track of every case against Donald Trump. More are coming too. As I write this, Fani Willis in Georgia is loading her own grand jury-powered indictment cannon aimed at the 45th President.

None of these cases look good for the Teflon Don. If I were Trump’s lawyer — and thank God I am not — I would strongly advise him to make a deal. He’s supposed to be good at that, right?

Even the weakest and least severe case against him — the alleged political hush money payments to Stormy Daniels in New York — is pretty ironclad. Michael Cohen may not be the most credible government witness in the world, but he was Trump’s loyal fixer for years. Few could directly incriminate him better than Cohen.

Back at Mar-a-Lago, where Trump apparently played musical bathrooms with classified documents, they forgot the number one rule of criminality: it’s not the crime that ruins you, it’s the cover-up.

Did nobody learn anything from Watergate?

Wouldn’t it be something if all of Trump’s accusations against Hillary and her emails actually boomerang back at Trump?

At a minimum, his accusations from 2016 establish he had knowledge that possessing and retaining classified docs was wrong. Yet…

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John Polonis
PolisPandit

Lawyer writing on law & politics, artificial intelligence, and the future of it all.