Donald Trump, U.S Senate, House of Representatives and the Potential Drama of Congressional Unpredictability!

Elwood Watson, Ph.D.
The Polis
Published in
4 min readDec 2, 2024

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President-elect Donald Trump is about to resume a second term as president in January 2025 with such a slim GOP majority in the House of Representatives that it offers the party little if any room for error. Delirious Republicans reveling about their supposed “huge election mandate” may want to keep a lid on such unabashed glee. As final results are being tabulated from California, the party appears to have the smallest House majority in more than a century.

Republican Rep. Michelle Steel lost her Orange County seat, while as of this column, Rep. John Duarte is trailing his Democratic challenger in his Fresno-area district. If Mr. Duarte loses his race, Republicans would control nine of 52 House seats in California. Gerrymandering activity in California as well as similar activity in New York (19–7 ), Democratic to GOP seats), Illinois (14–3) and Massachusetts (9–0) mean four states will deliver 85 of the Democratic number of 215 seats. The GOP number could dwindle to as few as 220. In the Hawkeye State, Iowa, GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks is up by 800 votes in Iowa’s Second Congressional District.

In the immediate days after November 5, it was apparent that Republicans would control both the White House and the US Senate, but there…

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The Polis
The Polis

Published in The Polis

Thought-provoking articles on politics, philosophy, and public policy

Elwood Watson, Ph.D.
Elwood Watson, Ph.D.

Written by Elwood Watson, Ph.D.

Historian, Syndicated Columnist, Public Speaker, Social-Cultural Critic. Professor of Black Studies and Gender Studies, at East Tennessee State University.

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