If Kamala Harris Loses, These Are the 3 Main Reasons Why

She must make the final days count and address all 3 issues

John Polonis
The Political Prism
6 min readOct 28, 2024

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The 2024 U.S. Election is nearing the finish line at a dead heat. While Kamala Harris may be leading in most national polls, she’s either tied or slightly trailing in individual swing states. I know, polls don’t vote, and I still don’t know anyone who’s ever responded to a poll, but most anecdotal evidence supports a very tight race.

In fact, three election stories largely explain why Harris is struggling to maintain the polling advantage she enjoyed against Trump shortly after her nomination. They are indicative of a changing electorate and a possible fracturing of the Democratic Party. Each story on its own could be enough to sway the election in Trump’s favor, with strong outcomes in all three likely leading to a decisive Trump victory.

Story 1: Kamala Harris has struggled to embrace and/or distance herself from Biden

Harris has been indecisive here — embrace the Biden administration record or run from it? She’s spent most of the past couple of months waffling somewhere in the middle, which does not inspire much confidence in independent voters.

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The Political Prism
The Political Prism

Published in The Political Prism

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John Polonis
John Polonis

Written by John Polonis

Lawyer writing on law & politics, artificial intelligence, and the future of it all. Contact: johnwpolonis@gmail.com

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