Planning at your own risk

Let’s say, you just finished a planning meeting (Yearly, Quarterly, PI, Sprint…whatever).

Now, let’s talk about the things that can go wrong and how likely they are to happen.

The last time you did quarterly planning, you might have ended the session with this exercise to show that your plan had a higher confidence from all ends.

To figure out a pragmatic number (as percentage), Prateek Singh from Prokanban.org has put together a website that helps people do the same thing, with some help from AI.

Make the assumptions in the plan and their likelihood of being false explicit.

The website below lets you drag and drop ‘Events’ and set likelihoods for them from an Options menu.

The Events can be dragged back to options as well. You can also add custom events.

In the end, it does a simple calculation to give you an ‘Overall Success Likelihood.’

Hopefully, this helps you (in)validate the plans you come up with in your planning sessions.

After all, Planning (at all levels for any timeframe) is all about Risk Management!

Website to refer : https://planlikelihood.web.app/