Feb. 25-Mar. 3: The Oscars, 2018

The nominees, who will (probably) win, and who should win.

Howard Chai
The Zeitgeist
4 min readMar 3, 2018

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Welcome to the Zeitgeist Chronicle. Every weekend we catch you up on the past week’s most noteworthy current events. Sometimes it’ll be what everybody’s talking about, other times it may be something we’d like to bring attention to. Our goal is keep you informed enough to be able to have a conversation about any of these current events. This week:

(Image via: EW)

This year’s Academy Awards are on Sunday, March 4th. You may remember last year’s Oscars as the one where La La Land was announced as the winner of Best Picture, only to then be a mistake, and that Moonlight actually won, as the La La Land crew was in the middle of their acceptance speech. It was truly, truly legendary.

This year, the Oscars will once again be hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, and both Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway, who presented the award for Best Picture last year, are back this year to present the same award. Expect a few re-do jokes. On top of that, this year’s awards have the added layer of #MeToo, which will bound to lead to a few jokes. Predictions:

Best Picture

  • Call Me By Your Name
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who Should Win: Get Out

Who Will (Probably) Win: Phantom Thread

Best Original Screenplay

  • Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani, The Big Sick
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out
  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  • Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor, The Shape of Water
  • Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who Should Win: Jordan Peele

Who Will (Probably) Win: Jordan Peele

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • James Ivory, Call Me by Your Name
  • Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber, The Disaster Artist
  • Scott Frank, James Mangold, and Michael Green, Logan
  • Aaron Sorkin, Molly’s Game
  • Virgil Williams and Dee Rees, Mudbound

Who Should Win: James Ivory

Who Will (Probably) Win: Virgil Williams and Dee Rees

Best Director

  • Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out
  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  • Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
  • Guillermo del Toro, Shape of Water

Who Should Win: Christopher Nolan

Who Will (Probably) Win: Guillermo del Toro

Best Actor

  • Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  • Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
  • Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Who Should Win: Daniel Kaluuya

Who Will (Probably) Win: Daniel Day-Lewis

Best Actress

  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  • Meryl Streep, The Post

Who Should Win: Saoirse Ronan

Who Will (Probably) Win: Meryl Streep

Best Supporting Actor

  • Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  • Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  • Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
  • Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who Should Win: Willem Dafoe

Who Will (Probably) Win: Sam Rockwell

Best Supporting Actress

  • Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
  • Allison Janney, I, Tonya
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  • Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Who Should Win: Mary J. Blige

Who Will (Probably) Win: Lesley Manville

Best Animated Film

  • The Boss Baby
  • The Breadwinner
  • Coco
  • Ferdinand
  • Loving Vincent

Who Should Win: Loving Vincent

Who Will (Probably) Win: Coco

Best Cinematography

  • Blade Runner: 2049
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • Mudbound
  • The Shape of Water

Who Should Win: Dunkirk

Who Will (Probably) Win: The Shape of Water

Best Film Editing

  • Baby Driver
  • Dunkirk
  • I, Tonya
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who Should Win: Baby Driver

Who Will (Probably) Win: Dunkirk

Best Sound Editing

  • Baby Driver
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Dunkirk
  • The Shape of Water
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Who Should Win: Dunkirk

Who Will (Probably) Win: Dunkirk

Best Sound Mixing

  • Baby Driver
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Dunkirk
  • The Shape of Water
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Who Should Win: Dunkirk

Who Will (Probably) Win: The Shape of Water

Best Original Score

  • Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk
  • Jonny Greenwood, Phantom Thread
  • Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water
  • John Williams, Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • Carter Burwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who Should Win: Hans Zimmer

Who Will (Probably) Win: Hans Zimmer

Best Original Song

  • “Mighty River,” Mudbound
  • “Mystery of Love,” Call Me by Your Name
  • “Remember Me,” Coco
  • “Stand Up for Something,” Marshall
  • “This Is Me,” The Greatest Showman

Who Should Win: “Mystery of Love”

Who Will (Probably) Win: “Remember Me”

Best Visual Effects

  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
  • Kong: Skull Island
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • War for the Planet of the Apes

Who Should Win: Blade Runner 2049

Who Will (Probably) Win: Blade Runner 2049

Best Production Design

  • Beauty and the Beast
  • Blade Runner: 2049
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • The Shape of Water

Who Should Win: Blade Runner 2049

Who Will (Probably) Win: The Shape of Water

Best Costume Design

  • Beauty and the Beast
  • Darkest Hour
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Shape of Water
  • Victoria & Abdul

Who Should Win: The Shape of Water

Who Will (Probably) Win: Beauty and the Beast

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling

  • Darkest Hour
  • Victoria & Abdul
  • Wonder

Who Should Win: Darkest Hour

Who Will (Probably) Win: Darkest Hour

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Howard Chai
The Zeitgeist

I strive towards a career that ends up leaving me somewhere between Howard Beck and Howard Beale.