Unlocking the Black Box: Harnessing Explainable AI in Telecommunications

Buse Bilgin
turkcell
Published in
8 min readNov 11, 2023
This image was created with the assistance of DALL·E.

In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become a cornerstone in the evolution of telecommunications. From optimizing network operations to enhancing customer experiences and predictive maintenance, AI technologies are reshaping the landscape of this industry. With the autonomous networks that will come into our lives with 6G, AI will become a native part of the network. However, understanding their decision-making processes becomes challenging and essential as these systems become more complex.

The telecommunications sector, being highly dynamic and customer-centric, requires not just advanced AI solutions but also a deep understanding of how these solutions arrive at their decisions. This need for transparency is not just a matter of trust and clarity for customers and operators but also a compliance requirement in many regulatory environments. Explainable AI (XAI) emerges as a key to unlocking these ‘AI black boxes’, providing insights into the functioning of otherwise opaque models.

Transforming Communications through Artificial Intelligence

The telecommunications industry has witnessed a remarkable transformation with the advent of AI. This technology has brought about significant advancements in various areas, fundamentally changing how services are delivered and maintained. AI-driven solutions enhance efficiency and enable telecom companies to offer innovative and personalized services to their customers.

One of the primary applications of AI in telecommunications is network optimization. AI algorithms can analyze vast amounts of data from network traffic, predict potential downtimes, and suggest optimal configurations. This ensures a more robust and reliable network and aids in proactive maintenance, reducing costs and improving service quality.

AI plays a crucial role in enhancing customer experience. By leveraging technologies like natural language processing and machine learning, telecom companies can offer personalized recommendations, more intelligent chatbots for customer service, and more responsive support systems. This personalization is about providing services and understanding customer needs and preferences, leading to higher satisfaction and loyalty.

Another significant application of AI in telecommunications is security and fraud detection. With increasing cyber threats, AI algorithms are instrumental in identifying unusual patterns and potential security breaches, safeguarding user data, and maintaining trust.

Despite these advancements, implementing AI in telecommunications has its challenges. Issues such as data privacy, the need for extensive and diverse datasets for training AI models, and the complexity of integrating AI into existing infrastructures pose significant challenges. Additionally, as AI systems become more intricate, understanding and explaining their decisions becomes increasingly important, especially in contexts where transparency and compliance are paramount.

The Role of Explainable AI

This is where XAI comes into play. XAI provides insights into the workings of AI models, making it easier for stakeholders to trust and understand AI-driven decisions. This transparency is crucial for customer trust, regulatory compliance, and improving AI models through better interpretability.

Decoding AI Decisions in Telecommunications: A Closer Look at LIME and SHAP

Let’s understand XAI first. XAI is the name given to the general techniques used to understand the decisions made by an AI model. It should not be confused with data analysis techniques. The primary purpose here is to try to understand the reason for the decision made by AI, whether it is wrong or right.

XAI can be examined under two main groups: self-interpretable models and post-hoc explanations. Self-interpretable models — as the name suggests — do not have the black box structure of the model itself but are models designed in the form of a white box. One of the best examples is the decision tree model. Since the decision-making steps of the model are determined by the conditions assigned to the variables, the decision-making mechanism of the model can be understood by looking at the model structure. Post-hoc explanations are models that analyze the model’s decision-making mechanism by looking at the inputs and outputs. These models are generally divided into two: global and local. Global models perform a general analysis of the effect of features on the decision after being trained with a data set. On the other hand, local models analyze the reason for the decision made for a single example.

Let’s look at post-hoc explanations. I want to focus on two popular approaches: Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP).

Understanding LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations):

LIME is an innovative approach designed to explain the predictions of any machine learning classifier in an interpretable and faithful manner. By focusing on individual predictions, LIME perturbs the input data, generating new samples around a point of interest, and observes how the model’s predictions change. This local approach allows for an in-depth understanding of model behavior in specific cases, making it easier to trust and validate the AI’s decision-making process, especially in critical and complex scenarios common in telecommunications.

Deciphering SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanations):

SHAP, on the other hand, offers a more holistic approach. It is grounded in game theory and provides a unified measure of feature importance that is both accurate and consistent. By breaking down a prediction to quantify the impact of each feature, SHAP offers an interpretable overview of how the model operates in general, revealing the significance of different input variables in the decision-making process. This global perspective is crucial for identifying broader trends and biases in AI models.

Comparison and Use Cases in Telecommunications:

While LIME and SHAP offer insights into AI models, they serve different purposes. LIME’s local explanations are invaluable for troubleshooting and understanding specific predictions, such as why a particular network fault was predicted, or why a customer was flagged for a specific service. With its global perspective, SHAP is instrumental in strategic decision-making, like understanding overall customer behavior patterns or identifying systemic issues in network performance.

Bridging the Gap Between AI and Human Understanding:

Ultimately, LIME and SHAP may act as bridges between complex AI algorithms and human understanding, ensuring that the decisions made by AI systems in telecommunications are accurate but also interpretable and justifiable. This understanding is crucial for building trust among stakeholders and for the responsible use of AI in this critical sector.

Case Study — Applying LIME and SHAP

Dataset

I analyzed the models using an open dataset from ITU AI/ML in the 5G Challenge for QoS Prediction. The dataset comprises 42 features and the target value (downlink throughput). I used an XGBoost model for training. You can also find the codes and dataset in my GitHub repo.

Self-interpretable Approach:

First, let’s look at the self-interpretable approach with the help of predefined functions in the XGBoost library. The provided importance score indicates each feature's relative value or usefulness in building the boosted decision trees inside the model. This is also extremely useful for feature selection!

Implementation of LIME:

To understand specific predictions made by our AI model, we apply LIME. Since LIME is a local model, I selected a random variable from the dataset and used the LIME model to understand the source of the decision made by the XGBoost model. The most essential features are similar to the self-interpretable models; however, the order differs. This is an expected situation because the feature importance analysis of the two methods is quite different from each other. Since LIME is a local analysis method, we can observe that the result changes when we analyze each variable.

Implementation of SHAP:

SHAP is employed to understand the model’s decision-making process better. By applying SHAP, we can quantify the contribution of each feature across all predictions.

The global explanation of the model using SHAP.

Besides the global explanation, SHAP can also create dependency plots. You can visualize the relationship between different features and their effect on the decision.

The dependency analysis using SHAP.

Lastly, SHAP can also be used for local explanations, like LIME.

The local explanation of the model using SHAP.

Let’s Compare!

While both LIME and SHAP enhance the interpretability of ML models, they serve different needs. LIME is more suited for cases where understanding individual predictions is crucial, such as diagnosing specific anomalies or errors. SHAP, in contrast, is better for understanding the model as a whole, which is helpful for auditing model performance and fairness. Due to the model’s complexity, it generally takes too much time to calculate the Shapley values. However, the kernel optimization problem must be carefully solved for the LIME implementation.

In practice, the choice between LIME and SHAP often depends on the specific requirements of the task at hand and the trade-offs between local and global explanations, computational resources, and the level of interpretability needed. Often, using both in tandem can provide a more comprehensive understanding of AI models in telecommunications and other sectors.

Conclusion

This article embarked on a journey through the evolving landscape of AI in telecommunications, emphasizing the pivotal role of XAI tools like LIME and SHAP. The insights from the case study underscore the essential nature of explainability in AI systems within the telecommunications sector. As AI continues to drive innovation and efficiency, explaining and understanding AI decisions becomes paramount. Explainable AI, through methods like LIME and SHAP, provides a pathway to leverage AI’s power while maintaining accountability and clarity. This approach is vital for advancing AI adoption in a way that is both sustainable and beneficial for all stakeholders.

As we move forward, integrating XAI tools will likely become a standard practice in AI development and deployment in telecommunications. This will enhance the quality of services and operations and pave the way for more ethical and fair AI systems. Future research and development in this domain should focus on improving the efficiency and accessibility of these tools, making them more adaptable to various AI models and applications.

In conclusion, the journey towards a more transparent and trustworthy telecommunications AI is challenging and necessary. By embracing explainable AI, we can ensure that the advancements in this field are grounded in understanding, trust, and responsibility, ultimately leading to a more innovative and customer-centric future.

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Buse Bilgin
turkcell

Electronics Engineer || ML Enthusiast || R&D Engineer || Technology Follower