Can Machine Learning predict who will die next on Game of Thrones?

Udacity India
Udacity India Inc.
Published in
3 min readAug 25, 2017

Thousands of men, armies, horses, favorite characters even the dragons— the ‘Valar Morghulis’ theme always keeps haunting people about the unexpected deaths. Everyone had a major heartbreak in episode 6 when Daenerys’s dragon ‘Viserion’ slowly shudders into the ice, and moreover becomes a wight. With Season Finale coming up, there’s much anticipation about which character is going to die next?

In the finale trailer, major stakeholders will gather in King’s Landing to discuss a ceasefire. Will Cersei try and pull a gambit similar to when she blew up the Sept of Baelor and take out all her enemies at once? We will discuss in this article all the possibilities.

Let’s talk about some major Fan theories first about how Game of thrones end would look like:

Jamie will kill Cersei

Jaime has seen Daenerys’ dragons first-hand, he knows Cersei won’t win in an open battle, and he’s clearly not happy with the direction the kingdom and his family are taking. Even though Jaime has said repeatedly that Cersei is the most important thing in his life, he may be more sympathetic to Tyrion’s pleas after discovering his little brother didn’t murder Joffrey at the Purple Wedding. Given his reputation as the Kingslayer, it would be much justice to have Jaime kill the Mad Queen.

Arya Stark kills Littlefinger

There has been a widely popular theory that the Stark kids have been plotting against Littlefinger all this while. Firstly, Sansa’s never kept her distrust of Littlefinger a secret; just last season she told Jon Snow: “Only a fool would trust Littlefinger.” And, then she tells Bran “He’s not a generous man. He wouldn’t give you anything unless he thought he was getting something back”. There’s a high possibility that Arya Stark might execute Littlefinger on the orders of Sansa Stark, and Bran will help his sisters in finding out the true reality.

Jon kills Daenerys

According to the prophecy, “When the red star bleeds, and the darkness gathers, Azor Ahai shall be born again amidst smoke and salt to wake dragons out of stone.” Melisandre has been putting her bet on Jon Snow. For Jon Snow to be Azor Ahai, he must kill his beloved wife. The direction of the show right now has clear signals that Jon and Daenerys are in love. Hence, there is a huge possibility Jon Snow will kill Daenerys.

Jon kills Bran (who is actually the Night King)

Bran = Night King is one of the most mind-blowing fan theory yet!

Bran has green sight and the ability to warg. He keeps traveling back and forth in time in a bid to fix things, and destroy the White Walkers once for all. In season 6, he goes back to the time when the first white walker was created by Children of the forests. In this episode, Bran wakes up by flinching his eyes as if he is experiencing the pain. There might be a possibility that he is into the man’s body but, since he can’t change the past, he is stuck in that body now. Jon Snow, the prince who was promised, will eventually have to kill his own brother to save others.

Researcher ‘Milan Janosov’ used the techniques of Machine Learning to come up with an “aggregated network of the realm’s social system”:

Source: Gizmodo

He also came up with this probability of character deaths:

[ORIGINAL SOURCE]

Do you have any theory who will die in the season Finale and the last season? Share with us in the comments section below.

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Udacity India
Udacity India Inc.

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