Astros vs Angels, 6/29/16- ATS Expert Prediction

Houston Astros vs LA Angels
MLB Betting Pick & Prediction
Odds: Astros -140, 8.5
Game Time: 3:35pm EST

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros Dallas Keuchel (4–9, 5.26 ERA) vs. Angels Jared Weaver (6–6, 5.24 ERA)

Astros vs Angels, 6/29/16- ATS Expert Prediction prediction by Carmine Luzetti of ATS Experts

Reigning Cy young award winner Dallas Keuchel will start the last game of the series between the Astros and the Angels. Jared weaver will start for the angels looking to close the series on a win.

Keuchel is suffering a Cy Young Award winning hangover in 2016. Last season he went 20–8 and allowed just 17 home runs total in 2015. So far in 2016, Keuchel has surrendered 13 long balls and we haven’t reached the half way mark in the season.

Jared Weaver has been as mediocre as his .500 record indicates. Weaver is 1–1 with a 4.12 ERA in his last three starts and 3–3 with a 5.72 ERA in eight starts at home. The Angels continue to slide down the standings, losing 7 of their last 8 games.

Dallas Keuchel has struggled this year for the Astros, especially in the road as he has a 5.89 ERA away from home and those road starts have averaged 9.40 rpg. Jered Weaver has struggled at home this year with a 5.72 ERA and his home starts have averaged 10.88 rpg so far. He will be taking on a Houston offense that has put up 60 runs in their last 10 games, while Keuchel will face an Angels team that is more than capable of knocking him around here at home. Look for some runs to come across the plate in this day game in LA.

Over is 10–3 in Keuchels last 13 Wednesday starts
Over is 7–1 in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record
Over is 9–3 in their last 12 during game three of a series
Astros have scored 58 runs in their last 9 games
Angels totals have been over 4 of their last 5 games

PREDICTION: Astros win 7–5 — Take the Over 8.5