Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Free NFL Pick, 10–18–2020
Cleveland Browns (4–1) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (4–0)
Sunday, October 18, 2020, 1:00 PM EST
Line: Steelers -3.5, O/U 51
The AFC North takes center stage with our Sunday featured matchup as the Cleveland Browns (4–1) travel to Heinz Field to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (4–0). The AFC North is arguably the best division in the NFL with the Steelers, Ravens, and Browns at the top with four wins on the season. Oddsmakers list the Steelers as -3.5 point home favorites and the total is currently at 51 points.
Cleveland enters Week 6 off a big win over the Indianapolis Colts, 32–23 as -1 point home favorites. The Browns are 3–2 ATS on the season and 4–1 O/U with four straight games eclipsing the total. Baker Mayfield leads the offense which averages 31.2 PPG and an NFL leading 188 rushing yards per game. This will be one of the key points to keep an eye on as Pittsburgh has allowed just 64 rushing yards per game and the fewest total rushing yards in the league. One of the best rushing attacks vs one of the best rushing defenses will be a pivotal matchup in this game.
Pittsburgh is 3–1 ATS and 3–1 O/U after their most recent win over the Eagles 38–29 as -7.5 point home favorites. The Steelers enjoyed a breakout game from rookie WR Chase Claypool who racked up 7 catches for 110 yards and 4 touchdowns. Ben Roethlisberger now has another weapon on the outside to compliment JuJu Smith-Schuster. Pittsburgh averages 29.5 PPG while the defense has played well allowing just 21.8 PPG and only 301 total yards per game. While the defense has played well, they have been plagued by penalties and big plays this season which is an area of concern for the Steelers.
Cleveland is finally enjoying some success behind a roster full of playmakers which will make for an intriguing matchup on Sunday. The OVER has cashed in four of the Steelers last five overall and 16 of the Steelers last 21 when playing at home as the favorite. The Browns have seen the OVER cash in each of the last four and the Over is 4–1 in Browns last 5 games following an ATS win. With the Over set at 51, I see this game going Over the total behind two dynamic offenses that can run and pass the football.