College Football National Championship: Clemson Tigers vs. LSU Tigers, Free Pick, 1–13–2020
Clemson Tigers (14–0) vs. LSU Tigers (14–0)
NCAAF Odds: LSU -5.5, O/U 69
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Date: Monday, January 13, 2020
The stage is set for Monday from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, LA to determine the National Champion in college football. The Clemson Tigers (14–0, 11–3 ATS) from the ACC will take on the LSU Tigers (14–0, 9–5 ATS) from the SEC as Clemson aims to win back-to-back national titles.
Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence has won 29 straight college football games and he has not lost a game in college. Lawrence’s last loss was in 2017 as a high school quarterback, his lone loss in high school. Despite entering as defending National Champions, the Clemson Tigers may be getting overlooked in this matchup which features Heisman Trophy winner, LSU QB Joe Burrow. In the Fiesta Bowl, Clemson rallied from a 16-point first-half deficit to score a 29–23 victory against Ohio State. In the Peach Bowl, Joe Burrow threw for 403 yards and seven touchdowns during the first half of a 63–28 thumping of Oklahoma.
Clemson has another solid trio operating on the other side of the field. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence, running back Travis Etienne, and wide receiver Tee Higgins have all been lethal this season. The key to Clemson winning this game will be their experienced defense which is capable of rising to the occasion in big games. Clemson’s defense ranks №1 in the country in scoring defense with opponents averaging 11.3 PPG. This should make for an interesting matchup with LSU’s top-ranked scoring offense, which is averaging 47.6 points per game.
LSU looked unbeatable vs. Oklahoma in the Peach Bowl but the Sooners defense is nowhere near the caliber of Clemson. LSU is led by QB Joe Burrow but it’s a roster full of playmakers. Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson both had over 1400+ receiving yards and the team also boasts stud running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire. LSU is also getting fantastic results from its rejuvenated defense that has stepped it up of late. The Tigers are 28th in the FBS this season with 22.2 points allowed per game, but they have turned it up of late, with only 12.3 points surrendered over their last three games prior to the win over the Sooners.
The LSU Tigers opened as -3 point favorites and that number quickly vanished as LSU is currently listed as -5.5 point favorites. I expect this number to change by kick-off but at this line, it becomes more about betting numbers than teams. Clemson has the experience and they may need to weather the storm similar to vs. Ohio State but they have a tremendous shot at winning this game. Two great offenses and two great defenses will result in a dog fight until the end. I give a slight edge to Clemson +5.5 as I feel their experience in this game will pay dividends when the pressure is at the highest levels. Take the points and back the defending National Champions.