Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick, 7–27–2017
Free MLB Pick by Skip Breaze of Sports Investor Central
Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies
Time: July 27, 7:05 PM EST
Current Odds: Phillies +120, 8
Houston Astros (66–33) at Philadelphia Phillies (34–63)
The Philadelphia Phillies hope to avoid a sweep at the hands of the visiting Houston Astros. Houston ran away with Game 1, walking away 13–4 winners. Game 2 was closer but Houston won 5–0. For Game 3, the Astros will pitch RHP Mike Fiers. Mike Fiers is (7–4) with a 3.59 ERA over 107.2 innings and has 107 Ks and 38 BBs. The Phils are starting RHP Aaron Nola. Nola is (7–6) with a 3.38 ERA over 93.1 innings with 97K’s and 29 BBs.
The Astros have played tremendous baseball this season and are running away with the AL West. Houston has a commanding 17.0 game lead over the Mariners. One of the biggest contributors to their success has been their top ranked offense. Houston leads all of the Majors with a team .292 batting average, 5.99 runs per game, 165 HRs and .860 OPS.
While Jose Altuve’s career-high 17-game hitting streak is receiving plenty of attention, teammate Marwin Gonzalez is enjoying an impressive run in his own right with hits in eight straight and 23 of his last 26 contests.
Aaron Nola appears to have turned his season around, despite the bleak outlook of the Philadelphia Phillies. Nola is (4–1) with an ND over his last 6 starts and a 1.70 ERA. During this time frame, Nola has fanned no less than 7 batters and he has fanned 9 batters three times.
The Phillies are clearly in a rebuilding stage and have struggled on the mound and offensively. They do have a few bright spots in their lineup and one of them is rookie Nick Williams. Williams was called up at the end of June and after 21 games the left hander has hit .303 with 4 home runs and 18 RBI’s. However, as a team, the Phillies rank near the bottom of the league in runs scored (3.97 RPG), .246 BA and 99 home runs.
This should be a great matchup on the mound with two young guns. Both pitchers have been dealing lately and while the Astros offense is tops in the league, I believe Nola can tame them enough for this Total to stay Under 8 runs. The Under is 21–4–4 in Phillies last 29 games following a loss, Under is 12–3–2 in Phillies last 17 home games, the Under is 37–15–3 in Phillies last 55 vs. American League West and the Under is 4–0 in Nola’s last 4 overall starts and last 4 home starts.