Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Free MLB Pick, 6–11–2019
Milwaukee Brewers (38–28) vs Houston Astros (45–22)
Date: June 11, 2019 Game Time: 8:10 pm MLB Odds: Brewers +105 | Astros -125, O/U 9
Two division leaders meet up on Tuesday as the Milwaukee Brewers open a two-game interleague series on the road against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The Brewers won their fourth straight on Sunday after defeating the Pittsburgh Pirates 5–2. Houston took two of three from the Baltimore Orioles and the Astros have won eight of their last ten games.
Pitching Matchup Milwaukee Brewers: Freddy Peralta (3–2, 5.11 ERA) Houston Astros: Brad Peacock (5–3, 3.20 ERA)
The Milwaukee Brewers enter Tuesday winners of four-straight games and 5–2 their last 7 road games. Milwaukee leads the Chicago Cubs by a 0.5 game in the National League Central after sweeping the Pirates at home. The Brewers are nine games over .500 at home but just 16–15 on the road this season. The Brewers are handing the ball to Freddy Peralta tonight after a solid outing in his last start vs the Marlins, 6.0 IP, 4 hits, 1 ER, 9 K. Peralta has been up and down this season and his role has shifted from the bullpen to starting pitcher dependent upon the Brewers needs. Christian Yelich leads Milwaukee with a .340 batting average, 24 HR, 53 RBI and 72 hits. Yelich is on pace for another MVP season but the Brewers offense is 13th in the league in scoring (4.95 RPG) while also ranking 15th in hitting at .250 and 3rd in HR’s with 108.
The Houston Astros are beginning to run away with the AL West as they hold a 9.0 game lead over the Texas Rangers. A key to the Astros success this season is going 18–3 in the opening game of a series. Brad Peacock will get the start tonight and has pitched well recently, going 2–1 with a 1.67 ERA in his last five starts and 2–1 with a 2.38 ERA in six starts at Minute Maid Park. The Astros starting pitching and bullpen have been great as they rank 2nd in the league in ERA at 3.39, 1st in WHIP at 1.05 and 1st in K’s with 523. Their bullpen ranks 1st in ERA at 2.79. Offensively, Houston ranks 9th in MLB in scoring (5.17 RPG) while also ranking 1st in hitting at .275 and 3rd in HR’s (91).
The Astros are 4–0 in Peacocks last 4 home starts, 5–0 in Peacocks last 5 interleague starts and 20–7 in Peacocks last 27 starts during game 1 of a series. Houston is 24–9 at home this season and they have gone 21–8 in Peacocks last 29 starts. Houston is one of the top teams in baseball and they are a very difficult team to beat at home. The Brewers have won four straight games but they face a tall task on Tuesday night. Take the Astros (-125) at home with a small price to pay backing the home team.