New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams Free NFL Total Play, 11–26–2017
Free NFL Pick by Fred Berns of King Sports Picks
New Orleans Saints (8–2) vs Los Angeles Rams (7–3)
NFL: Sunday, November 26th, 4:25 PM EST
Line: Rams -2, 53
Last Meeting: 11/27/16 LAR 21 NO 49
Trends:
Home team is 5–0 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Over is 5–0 in Rams last 5 games following a straight-up loss
Over is 4–1 in Saints last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
The 7–3 Los Angeles Rams host the 8–2 New Orleans Saints in a game rife with playoff implications. Last week, the Saints scored 15 points in the final three minutes of regulation to eventually knock off the Redskins, 34–31; while the Rams fell to the superior Vikings, 24–7.
After losing in consecutive weeks to open the season, New Orleans has been the talk of the NFL after winning eight consecutive games. Drew Brees lead his team back from a near loss to the Redskins last week at home to stay on top of the NFC South. Brees is having another tremendous season, collecting 2783 passing yards with a 15:5 TD to INT ratio but the talk of the Saints has been their dual-headed rushing attack. Mark Ingram has led the rushing attack with 806 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns, followed closely by rookie Alvin Kamara who has run for 459 yards and 4 TDs. The Saints defense did have some trouble last week, conceding 456 total yards to the Redskins. Their defense is much improved over the last few seasons and now own the ninth-ranked pass defense, however, they have been susceptible to run allowing 115 yards on the ground per game which ranks them 20th.
The Rams are having a banner season lead by second-year QB, Jared Goff who has thrown for 2610 passing yards with 16 touchdowns to 4 interceptions. Goff has stepped into the starting role nicely and has proven his worth, taken at #1 overall in the 2016 NFL Draft. The Rams offense was stifled by the Vikings defense last week, mustering just 7 points on the day. Los Angeles has one of the top offenses in the league (30 PPG) and their defense has been stout at times, allowing 18.6 PPG but the Vikings were the first winning team they have faced in three weeks.
The Saints have won three of the previous five games in the series, and the Over has hit in three of them. The Over is 6–0 in the Rams’ last six games following an against-the-spread loss, the Over is 8–3 in their last 11 meetings and the Over is 8–2 the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.
Both offenses have the firepower and are two of the best in the NFL, while both defenses are good but can be penetrated. This game should be a closely contested game but the Total is too low as I see this game ending closer to 58 points. Take the Over 53 in this matchup.
Saints vs Rams FREE Pick: Over 53
