New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Free Moneyline Prediction, 7–14–2017

Garrett Perry of Sports Picks Forum breaks down this AL East rivalry game

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Free Prediction

MLB: Friday, July 14th, 2017
Odds: Yankees +113 | Red Sox -133 | O/U 9

MLB Baseball Pick by Garrett Perry
Last 30:
44 Wins — 21 Losses: 68%
Unit Gain/Loss: +6164 Units

The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees for the first game back from the All Star break. The top two teams in the AL East begin a four game set tonight at 7:10 pm EST. Boston was playing well up until the week before the break and lost four of their last five leading into the break. The Yankees have gone 7–18 over their last 25 games under an avalanche of injuries.

New York named Michael Pineda (8–4,4.39 ERA) starting pitcher last Thursday night. Pineda hasn’t put together consecutive quality starts since the end of May, and he’s allowed five or more runs in four of seven starts over that span. The biggest issue with Pineda this season has been the long ball and he has surrendered 20 home runs on the season. Pineda has allowed 6 home runs in his last three starts.

New York showcased two of their rising stars in the Home Run Derby: Gary Sanchez and Aaron Judge. Sanchez put on an impressive display but it was Aaron Judge that stole the show with his size and power which ultimately lead to his Home Run Derby win. Both players will be in the lineup Friday night and they will lead this Yankees offense in the second half of the season as they make a push towards the Playoffs.

Boston will give the start to LH Drew Pomeranz (9–4, 3.60 ERA) in Game 1. Pomeranz has pitched very well this season and the lefty will begin his post-All-Star break campaign with some momentum, having gone 3–0 with a 1.82 ERA in his last five starts. Pomeranz defeated the Yankees on June 6 and is 2–1 with a 2.40 ERA in six career appearances against New York.

Boston has some great hitters as well. Xander Bogaerts leads the way on 97 hits, 50 r, ns and 41 RBI’s, while Mookie Betts leads the team in home runs with 16, and also has 96 hits, 61 runs and 53 RBI’s. Boston is fourth in the AL with 431 runs despite ranking dead last with just 92 home runs. Boston has a really nice rotation but look for them to make a move before the trade deadline that will inject some power into their lineup.

The Yankees are 3–10 in their last 13 road games while the Red Sox are 13–5 in their last 18 home games. The Red Sox are 13–3 in Pomeranz’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 8–2 his last 10 vs the American League East.

I don’t trust Pineda at this stage in the season. Boston is not a power hitting team but the long ball has plagued Pineda all season and the Red Sox could take advantage of this trend. Pomeranz should look crisp after the break and give a quality start en route to a Red Sox win. Take the Red Sox as home chalk.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction: Red Sox -133