Free College Football Spread Pick by PicksLogic.com
Temple Owls (5–3) vs. South Florida Bulls (4–4)
When: Thursday, November 7, 2019
Kickoff: 8:00 PM EST
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida Bulls +1.5, O/U 50
An AAC conference matchup from Tampa, FL kicks off on Thursday night when the Temple Owls travel to take on the South Florida Bulls. This matchup pits two teams that are trending in opposite directions with Temple losing two straight games and South Florida winners in three of their last four games.
The Temple football team has lost back-to-back games to SMU and UCF over recent weeks to drop to 5–3 on the season. The Temple offense is putting up 27.6 points and 402.6 yards per game while the defense is allowing 27.8 points and 403.1 yards per contest. Temple has to limit the turnovers which has plagued this team all season and rank second to last in the AAC with only UCONN turning the ball over more than the Owls. Temple is 2–2 in the AAC and 4–4 against the spread.
Statistically, South Florida is a middle-of-the-pack defensive team in the AAC, but the Bulls have forced 20 turnovers through eight games and Illinois is the only team in the country that has forced more. The Bulls feature a run-heavy attack which averages 5.0 yards per carry and 180 rushing yards per game. Senior RB Jordan Cronkrite leads USF with 587 yards rushing but he is averaging 127.8 yards per game over the last four games. USF will lean on the run heavily on Thursday night with Temple’s defense allowing 168 rushing yards per game.
Temple is 0–4 ATS the last 4 games
Temple is 23–8 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss
South Florida is 5–12 ATS in their last 17 conference games
South Florida is 1–5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win
Who has the edge?
South Florida will need to play more disciplined being the most penalized team in the AAC. The Bulls defense is allowing the fewest passing yards per game in the AAC and they will want to put Temple QB Anthony Russo in obvious throwing downs on Thursday night, they should like their chances. Temple has not played competitive football against the top teams in the AAC and while South Florida is a .500 football team they have rebounded in recent weeks to turn around their season. I think the Bulls defense will be the deciding factor and their ability to defend the pass. Take the Bulls as +1.5 point home dogs on Thursday night.