Yankees vs Orioles: FREE MLB Prediction from Sports Picks Forum

The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles take the field tonight for the rubber match of their 3 game series. The Orioles took the first game 4–1 while the Yanks won game 2, 7–0. The Yanks are just 3–9 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 10–3 at home. Pitching Probables: Masahiro Tanaka vs Kevin Gausman.

New York has been a disappointment so far this season and they have now lost 7 of 10. One of the highlights so far is Alex Rodriguez, who has five homers, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored. A-Rod is hobbled by a pulled hamstring so if he is pulled from the lineup they lose power and run production. Starlin Castro has had a good start to his yankees career as he leads the team in hitting at .300 and has three homers and 12 RBIs as well. It will be a long year if this offense doesn’t wake up overall.

Toeing the rubber for the Yanks will be their ace, Masahiro Tanaka, who has gone 1–0 with a 2.87 ERA in five starts this year, including 0–0 with a 3.09 ERA in two road starts. On the road in his career he is now 12–6 with a 3.35 ERA in 22 starts. Tanaka is 1–1 with a 3.03 ERA in four starts vs the Orioles. This will be his first ever start here at Camden Yards.

Baltimore currently sits a .5 game behind the Red Sox after their loss last night to the Yankees. Baltimore is now 10–4 this year at home. The Orioles offense has been productive this year and is lead by Mark Trumbo, who leads the team in homers with eight and RBIs with 22, while hitting .337. Manny Machado is also off to a nice start as he is hitting .350 11 doubles, seven homers and 16 RBIs out the gate. This is an offense with a lot of weapons and they will score a ton of runs this year.

The Orioles will send out Kevin Gausman, who has gone 0–1 with a 2.45 ERA in two starts this year. Last year he was 4–7 with a 4.25 ERA in 25 games (17 starts). Gausman is 1–1 with a 2.57 ERA in five career starts vs the Yankees, while here at home in his career overall he has gone 9–7 with a 3.23 ERA in 30 games (23 starts).Yankees Trends

• The Under is 6–0 in Tanaka’s last six starts vs. a team with a winning record
• The Under is 8–3 in Tanaka’s last 11 road starts

Baltimore Trends

• The Under is 8–1–1 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter

Pick: Under 7.5

The Yankees offense is struggling and with Tanaka on the mound for the Yankees, he will neutralize the Orioles offense. 5 unit play on the Under 7.5

Prediction by SPF Expert: Owen Timmons