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Vinod B
Politics, Policy, Economics, & Data
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What Does Democrats Have a “Working Class” Problem Mean?
What Does Democrats Have a “Working Class” Problem Mean?
America has a media problem. Everyone should read the linked article which points out a big reason why Democrats lost the 2024 election and…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Dec 27, 2024
Why Nate Silver is Wrong About Kamala Harris
Why Nate Silver is Wrong About Kamala Harris
Nate’s Silver latest blogpost diagnosing why Kamala Harris lost is wrong and incomplete. It seems to be a continuity of the devolution of…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Nov 17, 2024
Final Election Forecast
Final Election Forecast
Its gonna be really, really close (probably)
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Nov 4, 2024
What is Going on With Inflation in the US?
What is Going on With Inflation in the US?
A Tale of Global Markets and Forces Outside of Our Control
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Jun 20, 2022
Andrew Sullivan Shows How Conservatives Are Missing the Point on Race
Andrew Sullivan Shows How Conservatives Are Missing the Point on Race
His Appearance on The Problem with Jon Stewart Exemplifies Why They are Unable to Understand Reality
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Apr 10, 2022
Price Controls Aren’t Always Terrible (Short Term) Policy Tools
Price Controls Aren’t Always Terrible (Short Term) Policy Tools
They can reduce harm but the policy specifics matter
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Mar 13, 2022
Don’t Look Up? COVID is a Better Analogy for Climate Change Than an Asteroid
Don’t Look Up? COVID is a Better Analogy for Climate Change Than an Asteroid
Don’t Look Up has driven conversations about the similarity between its fictional world trapped in a doom loop of greedy corporate…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Feb 22, 2022
Controversial Comedy, Sensitive Snowflakes, and Misplaced Anger
Controversial Comedy, Sensitive Snowflakes, and Misplaced Anger
Dave Chapelle’s latest comedy special has been making the rounds on the internet, stirring up controversy and rehashing old debates about…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Nov 3, 2021
Facebook’s Response to COVID Misinformation on its Platform Has Been Pathetic
Facebook’s Response to COVID Misinformation on its Platform Has Been Pathetic
It is Further Evidence that the Social Media Company May Be Too Big for its Own Good
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Jul 25, 2021
To Build a Competitive Economy for Everyone, America Must Look Beyond Tech Regulation
To Build a Competitive Economy for Everyone, America Must Look Beyond Tech Regulation
Market Concentration Concerns Dominate Many Other Industries Beyond the Tech Sector
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Jul 12, 2021
GameStop Was Always A Bubble That Further Proves Stories Run the World
GameStop Was Always A Bubble That Further Proves Stories Run the World
The 17th century was the height of Dutch power, known as the Dutch Golden Age, that saw the Netherlands excel in trade, art, and military…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Feb 14, 2021
The Biden Administration Represents Democrats’ Best Chance in Years to Push Their Agenda
The Biden Administration Represents Democrats’ Best Chance in Years to Push Their Agenda
The Long Night from Game of Thrones was one of the most memorable episodes of television ever. In the face of an impossible onslaught of…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Feb 5, 2021
Lockdowns Are Not the Answer to Contain COVID-19; Mass Testing & Contract Tracing Are
Lockdowns Are Not the Answer to Contain COVID-19; Mass Testing & Contract Tracing Are
It is clear that the US response to the coronavirus has failed. The number of cases per capita and deaths per capita in the country is one…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Dec 17, 2020
What Happened with the Polls in 2020?
What Happened with the Polls in 2020?
Forecasting Retrospective
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Nov 30, 2020
Early Election Results vs. the Final Forecast and a Quick Look Ahead
Early Election Results vs. the Final Forecast and a Quick Look Ahead
With the early results in, it is clear that the election is closer than the expected results from our forecast. It appears that polls…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Nov 3, 2020
Final Election Forecast: What Will Happen in the President and Senate Elections on November 3, 2020
Final Election Forecast: What Will Happen in the President and Senate Elections on November 3, 2020
In previous posts we provided detailed senate and presidential forecasts for the upcoming elections on November 3.
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Nov 2, 2020
Forecasting Who Will Win the Presidency in 2020
Forecasting Who Will Win the Presidency in 2020
The 2020 election is rightly seen as a defining moment in American politics. Biden and Trump each have vastly different visions and plans…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Oct 28, 2020
Forecasting Who Will Win the Senate in 2020
Forecasting Who Will Win the Senate in 2020
The Answer is Key to the Future of American Democracy
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Oct 28, 2020
What Will Happen to the Supreme Court Now With Ruth Bader Ginsberg Gone?
What Will Happen to the Supreme Court Now With Ruth Bader Ginsberg Gone?
Short Term, Not Much Will Be Different; Long Term It Is Still A Structural Deficiency
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Sep 20, 2020
Statistics Explain Trump’s Campaign Strategy
Statistics Explain Trump’s Campaign Strategy
Joe Biden has very little chance of losing the national popular vote. No candidate with a double digit lead at the end of July has ever…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Aug 21, 2020
Even With Huge Polling Leads for Biden, The Electoral College Still Favors Trump
Even With Huge Polling Leads for Biden, The Electoral College Still Favors Trump
US Presidential Elections are currently run under the Electoral College system, which consists of individual popular vote contests in each…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Jul 19, 2020
The Recent Protests Won’t (and Haven’t) Changed Political Behavior
The Recent Protests Won’t (and Haven’t) Changed Political Behavior
The tragic death of George Floyd has offset racial protests across the US and around the world. It has sparked much needed discussion of…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Jul 13, 2020
Democrats: Plans, not Polls, Must Win Election
Democrats: Plans, not Polls, Must Win Election
Democrats are bullish about the election. Prominent Republicans like Colin Powell have endorsed Joe Biden. Recent national polls have…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Jun 25, 2020
The World of COVID-19 Should Make Us Rethink Higher Education
The World of COVID-19 Should Make Us Rethink Higher Education
Impact of COVID-19 on Higher Education
Vinod Bakthavachalam
May 31, 2020
Bernie Sanders Will Lose Because He Didn’t Do the Main Job of a Politician: Forecasting the Rest of
Bernie Sanders Will Lose Because He Didn’t Do the Main Job of a Politician: Forecasting the Rest of
On March 3 (Super Tuesday), Biden outperformed expectations; he also outperformed expectations in most states on March 10, trouncing…
Vinod Bakthavachalam
Mar 11, 2020
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