WFAD #35

$FCX & $PLD

DTI Algorithmic
Блог DTI Algorithmic
3 min readFeb 9, 2017

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Read the previous WFAD#34.

$FCX

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., $FCX [NYSE]
Basic Materials | Copper | USA

The first trading idea was buying stocks of Freeport-McMoRan Inc. ($FCX) (see pic. 1).

Pic. 1. $FCX, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. Weekly. (Forecast)

The result is shown on the pic. 2

Pic. 2. $FCX, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. Daily. (Results)

The Idea was to buy a pullback to the neckline. We had this pullback and went long. Several days later $FCX went up and there was a day, when it gained 8%. We immediately moved our stop-loss higher to protect paper profits. Right after that day, $FCX price gapped down -5% and correction or maybe a new downtrend began. Several days later $FCX price has broken uptrend line and confirmed the downtrend. We had to close this trade. Our target was not reached.

Profit from this recommendation = appr. +15.98% in 45 days (+127.84% annually)

The lesson is =>

  1. If market started to go against your position and something is going wrong with your plan, take your profits (if you have any) and go away.

$PLD

Prologis Inc., $PLD [NYSE]
Financial | REIT — Industrial | USA

The second recommendation was to buy stocks of Prologis, Inc. ($PLD).
(see pic. 3).

Pic. 3. $PLD, Prologis Inc. Daily. (Forecast)

The result is shown on the pic 4.

Pic. 4. $PLD, Prologis Inc. Daily. (Results)

We made an attempt to join the local uptrend. Price of $PLD was higher, than 200-MA and 50-MA. We just bought a break of a local high after price made a pullback to the base of 2-bot. pattern. After that we did not see any activity of buyers and there was no impulsive move up. $PLD formed a 7-days bearish pennant. That was the first signal for selling. But we were in a long trade! Of course pennant could be a false one. It was possible, but in the end pennant was broken down. We stopped the trade. The idea with going long failed.

Now $PLD market looks bearish (see pic. 4). We will wait out a correction and then take any suitable sell opportunity.

Loss from this recommendation = -1.73% in 12 days (-51.9% annually)

The lesson is =>

  1. If the basis for your trade has become invalid, stop the trade. Sometimes reversing the trade can be profitable.

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