Future of AI : How long before AI overtakes Humans.
Last week has been interesting for AI; with two of the tech stalwarts locking horns over the way AI is expected to unfold in future. It all started when Mark Zuckerberg told the reporters that warnings against artificial intelligence are pretty irresponsible.
and yes, Mark was probably referring to Elon Musk — who has been quite vocal about the potential dangers that AI poses to humanity. And, here’s what Elon had to say to this:
Pretty interesting, huh ? Though we can’t be sure who’s among the two is right, but we can certainly try to estimate how far have we come in terms of development of AI ?
In the recent times, artificial Neural Networks have doubled in size roughly every 2.4 years (primarily driven by the availability of faster computers and larger data sets). The larger networks are vital because they’re able to achieve higher accuracy on more complex tasks. However, unless new technologies allow faster improvement, the artificial neural networks would not have the same number of neurons as human brains until at-least 2050's.
In comparison, today’s networks — which are considered quite large from computational point of view — are still smaller than the nervous system of relatively primitive vertebrate animals like frogs. Also, biological neurons represent more complicated functions than current artificial neurons, so biological neural networks may be even larger than what this graph depicts. Well, it seems that we still got some time to settle the debate, or maybe prepare for the Armageddon.
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