What Happened in the ME-02 Congressional Election?

  1. Improving over Hillary Clinton’s performance – but not quite recreating Barack Obama’s numbers among Democratic and Independent-leaning voters – while improving marginally among Republican-leaning groups.
  2. Success despite an uphill, characteristically-midterm-like environment within Maine, when electorates in other states clearly had a more Presidential bent.
  3. In geographic terms, Golden’s performance was characterized by relative uniform swing, doing better across rural, suburban, and urban communities throughout the district compared to 2016, though with a slightly stronger performance in the denser portions of the district as opposed to the rural areas.

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