Comprehensive Analysis of Stacks (STX) Amidst Market Volatility 📉 — Key Levels and Trading Strategies 💡

Market Waltz
5 min readJun 17, 2024

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⭐Introduction: Stacks (STX) experienced a parabolic upward movement, reaching its all-time high (ATH) of approximately $3.845. However, it has since undergone a significant correction and is currently testing a crucial support level. If this support breaks and Bitcoin continues to decline, Stacks could see substantial further drops, making it an attractive candidate for short positions. Stay with us for a comprehensive fundamental and technical analysis of this cryptocurrency to ensure you don’t miss out on potential trading opportunities.

Fundamental Analysis:

What Is Stacks (STX)?

Stacks is a Bitcoin layer designed specifically for smart contracts. It enables smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps) to use Bitcoin as an asset and to settle transactions directly on the Bitcoin blockchain. Here’s a deeper look into what makes Stacks unique:

Key Features and Innovations:

1. Integration with Bitcoin:
— Bitcoin Settlement:Stacks leverages Bitcoin, the largest and most durable decentralized asset, unlocking $500 billion in BTC capital by using Bitcoin’s L1 as the settlement layer for decentralized applications.
— Bitcoin State Knowledge: Thanks to its Proof of Transfer (PoX) consensus and the Clarity programming language, Stacks has complete knowledge of Bitcoin’s state, allowing it to read from Bitcoin at any time.

2. Security:
— Bitcoin Hash Power: All transactions on the Stacks layer are automatically hashed and settled on Bitcoin’s L1. Stacks blocks are secured by 100% of Bitcoin’s hash power. To alter Stacks blocks/transactions, an attacker would need to reorganize Bitcoin itself.

3. Upcoming Innovations:
— Bitcoin Finality: In the upcoming release, Stacks will be secured by the entire hash power of Bitcoin, providing Bitcoin finality.
— sBTC: Stacks will introduce a new Bitcoin-backed asset called sBTC, which will be backed 1:1 with BTC on Bitcoin L1. This asset will allow for decentralized movement in and out of the Stacks layer, enabling Stacks smart contracts to write directly to Bitcoin.

4. Advanced Capabilities:
— Atomic BTC Swaps: Stacks facilitates atomic BTC swaps and the management of assets owned by BTC addresses.
— Clarity Language: Stacks uses the Clarity programming language, known for its safety and decisiveness in creating smart contracts.
— Scalability: Stacks is a scalable layer that allows for fast transactions, all of which settle on Bitcoin, providing the security and reliability of the Bitcoin network.

Stacks aims to combine the robustness of Bitcoin with the flexibility of smart contracts, making it a unique and powerful tool in the blockchain ecosystem. As we delve deeper into the technical analysis, we’ll explore how these fundamental aspects influence Stacks’ market behavior and trading opportunities.

Technical Analysis:

📊Daily Time Frame:

In the daily timeframe, Stacks (STX) experienced a parabolic rise of 500%, reaching a new all-time high (ATH). However, it is currently undergoing a significant correction. The primary trend for STX turned bearish after falling below $1.801. Notably, the secondary and minor trends are also bearish, making short positions more logical as they align with the primary trend and the overall market’s downward momentum.

If you are a holder of STX and have been since the $0.750 range, it might be wise to consider selling or securing profits, as breaking below the $1.801 support level indicates a lack of strong support below, potentially leading to a sharp decline.

For short-term holders, activating a stop loss below this level could be prudent. However, this decision depends on your entry point, risk tolerance, and potential loss you can handle. On the flip side, for buying opportunities, a breakout and consolidation above $2.436 could serve as a suitable entry point for a long position in this coin.

In summary, given the current bearish trends in multiple timeframes, shorting STX aligns with the prevailing market sentiment. However, always consider your risk management strategies and entry points to make informed trading decisions.

⚡Four-Hour Time Frame:

As mentioned earlier on Twitter, today’s market is active and presenting trading opportunities. STX has initiated its move and surpassed our entry point, which, as we discussed in higher timeframes, is $1.801. The 4-hour candle has closed well below this level, indicating a strong bearish momentum, further confirmed by the RSI breaking into the oversold territory. The increased volume supports this downward trend, confirming the bearish outlook for STX.

If you missed the initial entry trigger, which was at the break below $1.801, there are three strategies you can consider:

  1. Wait for a Pullback: The safest approach is to wait for a pullback to the broken support level, now acting as resistance, and then enter a short position.
  2. Look for a Range Formation: Wait for the market to form a consolidation range (box range) and then look for a breakout in lower timeframes (15-minute or 1-hour) to enter a position.
  3. 3-SMA Strategy: Wait for the 4-hour 3-SMA (Simple Moving Average) to catch up to the price, providing a better entry point once it reaches this moving average.

Avoid falling into the trap of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out). It’s crucial not to open positions impulsively without clear triggers. A professional trader waits for the market to present precise triggers and then makes a calculated entry, while a novice trader enters positions based on hope rather than strategy.

Patience and discipline are key in trading. By sticking to these strategies, you can avoid unnecessary risks and improve your chances of making profitable trades.

đŸ”» Key Support Levels:
1.801 , 1.648, 1.315

đŸ”ș Key Resistance Levels:
1.950, 2.107, 2.436

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Market Waltz

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