Stefan HiltsinBasic IncomeAsking the Big Basic Income QuestionsIt’s time to direct efforts to rigorous analytic research on UBI, so I’ve put together a list of the biggest questions I have about the…Nov 29, 20167Nov 29, 20167
Stefan HiltsWhy I’m dedicating my year to Universal Basic IncomeThis year, I left my job to pursue study of Universal Basic Income. I don’t have any external financial support for this project, and so…Nov 20, 20167Nov 20, 20167
Stefan HiltsHow I misplayed the election by leaving my umbrella at home (or how 80% isn’t 100%)Gosh, what a mess.Nov 14, 2016Nov 14, 2016
Stefan HiltsFinal Election PredictIt Positions (still betting against Nate Silver!)For background into my strategy and the mechanics of the markets, read my initial betting primer here. For my final predictions in the…Nov 8, 2016Nov 8, 2016
Stefan HiltsMy Final Election Predictions!It all started with the innocuous question “Hey, I’m seeing scary national polls… how close is this election?” But, after throwing together…Nov 8, 2016Nov 8, 2016
Stefan HiltsThe Best Bets on PredictIt for 11.3.2016 (and we’re still betting against Nate Silver)If you haven’t gotten the background, take a look here, where I lay out the basics of the markets and the reason why this looks like a good…Nov 3, 2016Nov 3, 2016
Stefan HiltsQuick Election Update — 11.3.2016Howdy all, been a wild week in the election, and we’re in an exciting downswing that’s both stressing us out and offering very attractive…Nov 3, 2016Nov 3, 2016
Stefan HiltsHow to bet with me (and against Nate Silver) on the ElectionWell guys, been a little while since an official election update since there’s not a ton of excitement out there lately. I’ve had Hillary…Oct 27, 20161Oct 27, 20161
Stefan HiltsReleasing the @stefanhilts Senate Forecast ModelWell gosh, with the presidential race rigged and all, there’s not as much fun in predicting that right now, except for maybe the exciting…Oct 19, 2016Oct 19, 2016
Stefan HiltsNo, someone did not prove that humans have a maximum lifespan of 115…I’m going to jump into a bit of dense wonkery, so to make this clear upfront: No one has proven that there’s a maximum human lifespan. If…Oct 18, 2016Oct 18, 2016
